ILLINOIS
FARM REPORT


RELEASED: OCTOBER 1, 1999 IFR-99-13
NASS Logo   Illinois
  Agricultural
  Statistics Service
P.O. Box 19283, Springfield, IL 62794
Phone: (217) 492-4295
U.S. Department of Agriculture
Illinois Department of Agriculture

http://www.agr.state.il.us/agstats.htm

VOL. 20, NO. 13
Highlights
September Grain Stocks
Hogs and Pigs
Agricultural Prices
Milk Production
Layers & Egg Production


SEPTEMBER GRAIN STOCKS

Corn stocks in all positions in Illinois on September 1, 1999 totaled 246.2 million bushels. This was 33 percent more than a year earlier and the highest September 1 level since 1993 when 339.1 million bushels were stored. Off-farm stocks, at 161.2 million bushels, accounted for 65 percent of the total stocks. The indicated disappearance from all positions for the June-August quarter was 328 million bushels, two percent more than a year ago. Stocks of soybeans on September 1, 1999 totaled 50.3 million bushels, 54 percent more than a year earlier. Off-farm stocks, at 31.3 million bushels, accounted for 62 percent of the total stocks. The indicated disappearance from all positions for the June-August quarter was 99.1 million bushels, the largest disappearance on record for this quarter.

U.S. old crop corn stocks in all positions on September 1, 1999 totaled 1.80 billion bushels, up 37 percent from September 1, 1998. Of the total stocks, 807 million bushels were stored on farms, up 26 percent from a year ago. Off-farm stocks, at 989 million bushels, were up 48 percent from a year ago. The June-August 1999 indicated disappearance is 1.82 billion bushels, five percent above the disappearance of 1.73 billion bushels during the same period a year earlier. Old crop soybeans stored in all positions on September 1, 1999 totaled 348 million bushels, up 74 percent from September 1, 1998. On-farm stocks totaled 145 million bushels up 72 percent from last September. Off-farm stocks at 203 million bushels, were 76 percent above the previous year. Indicated disappearance for the September 1998-August 1999 marketing year totaled 2.60 billion bushels, one percent below disappearance during the comparable period a year earlier.

GRAIN STOCKS: SEPTEMBER 1, 1998-99
Crop and
position 1/
Illinois United States
1998 1999 1998 1999
  Thousand bushels
Corn
 On farms 58,000 85,000 640,000 807,000
 Off farms 126,446 161,211 667,803 989,367
  Total 184,446 246,211 1,307,803 1,796,367
 
Soybeans
 On farms 13,000 19,000 84,300 145,000
 Off farms 19,570 31,272 115,499 202,983
  Total 32,570 50,272 199,799 347,983
 
All Wheat
 On farms 6,500 7,900 885,720 903,060
 Off farms 38,025 41,709 1,499,770 1,556,196
  Total 44,525 49,609 2,385,490 2,459,256
 
Oats
 On farms 2/ 2/ 110,300 97,500
 Off farms 1,001 682 51,515 50,982
  Total 2/ 2/ 161,815 148,482
 
Sorghum
 On farms 2/ 2/ 13,700 13,800
 Off farms 310 336 35,203 51,314
  Total 2/ 2/ 48,903 65,114
1/ Off-farm stocks include stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, terminals, and processors.
2/ Data not published.


HOGS AND PIGS

Total inventory of all hogs and pigs on hand in Illinois on September 1, 1999 was 4.2 million head, down 13 percent from last year and down three percent from the June 1, 1999 inventory. This was the lowest inventory on record since December, 1937. Market hogs, at 3.72 million head, were down 13 percent from a year ago, while breeding hogs, at 430 thousand head, were down 20 percent.

The June through August pig crop, at 1.72 million pigs, was down 13 percent from last year. There were 200 thousand sows that farrowed, down 13 percent from last year. The average number of pigs per litter was 8.6, unchanged from the litter rate during the same period last year.

Hog producers intend to farrow 190 thousand sows during the September through November quarter, down 19 percent from the same period a year ago. The first intentions estimate for the December 1999 through February 2000 quarter is 180 thousand, down 14 percent from a year earlier.

U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on September 1, 1999 was 60.7 million head. This was four percent below September 1998, but slightly above June 1, 1999. Breeding inventory, at 6.29 million head, was down eight percent from September 1, 1998 and down three percent from June 1, 1999. Market hog inventory, at 54.4 million head, was four percent below last year, but one percent above last quarter.

The June through August 1999 U.S. pig crop, at 25.9 million head, was three percent less than 1998, but one percent more than 1997. Sows farrowed during this period totaled 2.93 million head, four percent below last year. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 45 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs per litter rose to an average of 8.86 pigs saved per litter for the June through August period, compared to 8.72 pigs last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.80 for operations with 1-99 hogs to 9.00 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs.

U.S. hog producers intend to farrow 2.85 million sows during the September through November 1999 quarter, five percent below the actual farrowings during the same period in 1998 and three percent below 1997. Intended farrowings for December 1999 through February 2000, at 2.81 million sows, are three percent below the same period last year and four percent below 1998.

HOGS AND PIGS: INVENTORY NUMBERS, SEPTEMBER 1, 1998-99
  Illinois Iowa United States
1998 1999 1999 as %
of 1998
1998 1999 1999 as %
of 1998
1998 1999 1999 as %
of 1998
  1,000 head Percent 1,000 head Percent 1,000 head Percent
 
Breeding 540 430 80 1,290 1,150 89 6,875 6,291 92
 
Market 4,310 3,770 87 14,210 14,350 101 56,612 54,444 96
    Under 60 lbs. 1,540 1,390 90 4,560 4,660 102 21,189 20,273 96
    60-119 lbs. 1,050 930 89 4,050 3,940 97 14,032 13,424 96
   120-179 lbs. 930 820 88 3,000 3,100 103 11,555 11,149 96
   180 lbs. & over 790 630 80 2,600 2,650 102 9,837 9,599 98
 
Total 4,850 4,200 87 15,500 15,500 100 63,488 60,736 96


HOGS AND PIGS: FARROWINGS & PIG CROP, 1998-99
  Illinois Iowa United States
1998 1999 1999 as %
of 1998
1998 1999 1999 as %
of 1998
1998 1999 1999 as %
of 1998
  1,000 head Percent 1,000 head Percent 1,000 head Percent
Sows Farrowing:
Dec.-Feb. 1/ 210 180 2/ 86 480 450 2/ 94 2,897 2,808 2/ 97
Mar.-May 255 210     82 550 520     95 3,086 2,990     97
Jun.-Aug. 230 200     87 530 490     92 3,054 2,925     96
Sep.-Nov. 235 190 2/ 81 510 470 2/ 92 2,993 2,850 2/ 95
 
Pig Crop:
Mar.-May 2,193 1,817 83 4,785 4,524 95 26,989 26,301 97
Jun.-Aug. 1,978 1,720 87 4,638 4,410 95 26,634 25,907 97
 
Pigs Per Litter:
Mar.-May 8.60 8.65 -- 8.70 8.70 -- 8.75 8.80 --
Jun.-Aug. 8.60 8.60 -- 8.75 9.00 -- 8.72 8.86 --
1/ February of next year.
2/ Intentions.


AGRICULTURAL PRICES

September prices received by Illinois farmers for all commodities increased from last month and is at 74 percent of the base. This is four points more than the revised August figure but four points less than September 1998. The current year's base is computed by multiplying the average production for the five-year period by the average price for each year. These five years are summed and then divided by five to arrive at an average (base) for the period. The current five-year average production is then multiplied by the current price and divided by the average for the five years to arrive at the current index. The September all crops index, at 71 percent of the base, is five points more than the revised August figure but seven points less than September 1998. Prices increased for corn, soybeans, wheat and oats. The all livestock index decreased two points from the previous month and is at 83 percent of the base. This is five points more than September 1998. The price of cattle, calves and milk all increased. The hog-corn ratio decreased to 16.2.

The U.S. preliminary All Farm Products Index of Prices Received in September was 97 based on 1990-92=100, down one point from the August index. The seasonal changes in the mix of commodities farmers sell affect the overall index. Lower seasonal marketings of cattle, broilers, wheat and grapes more than offset the relatively higher marketings of soybeans, peanuts, corn and potatoes. The marketing changes would have decreased the index two points but were partially offset by the price increases. Price increases from August for milk, lettuce, tomatoes and soybeans more than offset price decreases for hogs, grapes, potatoes and onions. Compared with September 1998, the All Farm Products Index was two points lower. Price decreases from September 1998 for broilers, soybeans, milk and cotton more than offset price increases for cattle, hogs, calves and wheat.

INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED BY FARMERS
Commodity August
1998
September
1998
August
1999
September 15,
1999
  1992-96=100 1993-97=100
ILLINOIS
All Farm Products   80   78   70*   74
All Crops   79   78   66*   71
Food grains   65   57   59*   59
Feed grains/hay   73   74   65*   70
Soybeans   87   84    67*   73
All Livestock   82   78   85*   83
Meat animals   77   71   81*   77
Dairy products 108 114 104* 114
  1990-92=100
UNITED STATES
Prices Received 101   99   98*   97
All Crops 103 100   99*   97
Food grains   85   88   87*   89
Feed grains/hay   91   86   85*   82
Oilseeds   98   93   78*   84
All Livestock   99   98   97*   98
Meat animals   78   73   85*   83
Dairy products 119 129 115* 122
Prices Paid 116 115 117* 117
Parity Ratio 1/   87   86   84*   83
1/ Prices received index divided by prices paid index.
* Revised.


PRICES RECEIVED BY FARMERS 1/
Commodity Unit Illinois United States
Aug.,
1998
Sept.,
1998
Aug.,
1999
Sept. 15,
1999
Aug.,
1998
Sept.,
1998
Aug.,
1999
Sept. 15,
1999
  Dollars
Corn Bushels 2.01 1.88 1.84* 1.85 1.89 1.83 1.75* 1.79
Soybeans Bushels 5.54 5.31 4.50* 4.80 5.43 5.25 4.39* 4.61
Sorghum Cwt. 3/ 3/ 3.00* 2.90 3.32 2.91 2.89* 2.79
Wheat, all Bushels 2.19 1.99 2.03* 2.10 2.38 2.39 2.52* 2.56
Oats Bushels 1.01 1.15 1.28* 1.30 1.02 1.07 0.97* 1.03
Hay, all, baled Tons 84.00 82.00 77.00 75.00 88.00 85.00 77.40* 74.50
Alfalfa hay, bld Tons 89.00 85.00 82.00 80.00 90.20 87.10 81.50* 77.30
Other hay, bld Tons 66.00 65.00 58.00 55.00 76.40 74.90 62.80* 63.70
Hogs, all Cwt. 33.60 27.70 34.70* 29.90 35.20 29.50 36.20* 32.30
Barrows, Gilts Cwt. 34.60 28.60 35.70* 30.70 35.90 30.10 36.90* 32.90
Sows Cwt. 21.50 17.10 23.10* 20.80 21.80 18.20 23.10* 22.00
Beef cattle Cwt. 57.40 56.30 62.80* 63.10 57.40 56.10 63.50* 63.80
Cows Cwt. 34.70 33.00 36.70* 35.50 34.20 32.60 36.30* 34.90
Steers, Heifers Cwt. 57.80 56.80 63.30* 63.70 59.70 58.90 66.20* 66.90
Calves Cwt. 97.00 94.00 107.00 110.00 76.90 74.10 89.60* 91.20
Milk cows Head 2/ 2/ 2/ 2/ 2/ 2/ 2/ 2/
Milk, all Cwt. 14.90 15.70 13.50* 15.20 15.50 16.70 15.00* 15.90
Milk, fluid Cwt. 14.90 15.70 13.30 3/ 15.50 16.80 15.00* 15.90
Milk, mfg. Cwt. 15.30 15.90 16.50 3/ 14.60 15.40 15.20* 15.50
Hog-corn ratio   16.7 14.7 18.9* 16.2 18.6 16.1 20.7* 18.0
1/ Prices received represent the average of all grades or classes at point of first sale and
    should not be confused with market quotations.
2/ Estimated in January, April, July, and October.
3/ State prices not published.
* Revised.



MILK PRODUCTION

Milk production in Illinois totaled 156 million pounds in August, down seven percent from August of 1998. The number of milk cows on farms totaled 122,000 head, down four percent from August of 1998. Milk per cow averaged 1,280 pounds, down three percent from a year ago.

Milk production during August in the 20 States totaled 11.5 billion pounds, up four percent from production in these same states in August 1998. Production per cow in the 20 States averaged 1,488 pounds, three percent more than a year ago. The number of milk cows on farms in the 20 States was 7.74 million head, 33,000 head more than August 1998.

MILK PRODUCTION: ILLINOIS & 20 STATES, AUGUST 1998-99
  August
Illinois 20 States
1998 1999 99 as % of 98 1998 1999 99 as % of 98
Milk Production:
Number of milk cows Head (000) 127 122 96 7,708 7,741 100
Milk production per cow Lbs. 1,320 1,280 97 1,443 1,488 103
Total milk production Mil. lbs. 168 156 93 11,124 11,522 104


LAYERS & EGG PRODUCTION

In Illinois, the average number of layers on hand was up two percent in June, down one percent in July and up 11 percent in August compared to the same months last year. The number of eggs produced was up ten percent in June, unchanged in July and up seven percent in August from a year ago.

In the United States, the average number of layers on hand was up four percent for June and July and up three percent for August compared to a year ago. The number of eggs produced was up four percent in June, up three percent in July and up four percent in August compared to a year earlier.

LAYERS & EGG PRODUCTION, ILLINOIS & UNITED STATES, JUNE-AUGUST, 1998-99
  Illinois
June July August
1998 1999 1998 1999 1998 1999
Average number of layers on hand (thousand) 3,116 3,180 3,109 3,080 3,005 3,345
Eggs produced (million) 67 74 72 72 70 75
  United States
Average number of layers on hand (thousand) 309,166 320,091 308,927 319,791 309,251 320,024
Eggs produced (million) 6,456 6,734 6,720 6,903 6,694 6,961


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