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KANSAS AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS
Kansas Department of Agriculture
PO Box 3534
Topeka, KS 66601-3534
Phone: 785-233-2230

Released: April 1, 1998
Volume 98, No. 4

PROSPECTIVE PLANTINGS

Text Box


INCLUDED
IN
THIS ISSUE:

PROSPECTIVE
PLANTINGS

GRAIN
STOCKS

MARKET
IMPLICATIONS



Kansas growers expect to plant 19.7 million acres to the four major crops (wheat, sorghum, corn, and soybeans), down 3 percent from 1997, according to Kansas Agricultural Statistics. Wheat seeded in the fall of 1997 totaled 10.7 million acres, unchanged from the December forecast but down 6 percent from last year.

Sorghum acreage expected to be planted, at 3.50 million acres, is down 4 percent from a year ago. Corn planting intentions totaled 2.95 million, up 4 percent from last season. Soybean planted acreage is expected to be 2.50 million acres, up 2 percent from last year. Oat seedings are expected to be unchanged from 1997 at 130,000 acres. Barley seedings, at 10,000 acres, are also unchanged from last year.

Sunflower acreage to be planted, at 200,000 acres, is down 9 percent from last season. Dry beans, at 20,000 acres, are down 9 percent from last year. All hay for harvest, at 2.70 million acres, is unchanged from last year. Cotton is expected to be planted on 18,000 acres, up from 15,000 acres last year.

Table 1-- PROSPECTIVE PLANTINGS - MARCH 1, 1998
Crop Acreage Planted or to be Planted
Kansas United States
1997 Prospectiv e
1998
1998 as %
of 1997
1997 Prospectiv e
1998
1998 as %
of 1997
1,000 Acres Percent 1,000 Acres Percent
Wheat, All 11,400 10,700 94 70,989 67,027 94
    Winter 1/ 11,400 10,700 94 48,342 46,637 96
    Durum -- -- -- 3,250 4,075 125
    Other Spring -- -- -- 19,397 16,315 84
Sorghum, All 3,650 3,500 96 10,108 9,015 89
Corn, All 2,850 2,950 104 80,227 80,781 101
Soybeans 2,450 2,500 102 70,850 72,000 102
Oats 130 130 100 5,169 5,154 100
Barley 10 10 100 6,910 6,780 98
All Hay 2/ 2,700 2,700 100 60,815 60,735 100
Sunflowers 220 200 91 2,949 3,148 107
Beans, Dry Edible 22 .0 20 .0 91 1,851 .8 1,940 .3 105
Cotton 15 .0 18 .0 120 13,818 .0 13,215 .0 96
1/ Planted previous fall. 2/ Acreage for harvest.

U.S. PROSPECTIVE PLANTINGS

Corn growers intend to plant 80.8 million acres of corn for all purposes in 1998, up 1 percent from last year and 2 percent from 1996. If these intentions materialize, this would be the largest planted acreage since 1985.

Soybean producers intend to plant 72.0 million acres in 1998, 2 percent above last year. If realized, this will be the largest planted area for soybeans on record.

Sorghum plantings are expected to total 9.02 million acres, down 11 percent from last year and 32 percent below the 1996 total.

The 1998 all wheat planted area is expected to total 67.0 million acres, down 6 percent from last year. This would be the lowest planted area in 10 years. Durum wheat acres are expected to increase to 4.08 million acres, up 25 percent from last year and the highest since 1982. Other spring wheat 1998 planted acres are expected to drop 16 percent from 1997 to 16.3 million acres, the lowest in 10 years.

All cotton plantings for 1998 are expected to total 13.2 million acres, 4 percent below 1997 and 10 percent less than the 1996 acres. Acreage of American-Pima cotton is up 6 percent from 1997, at 267,000 acres.

GRAIN STOCKS

Kansas wheat stocks in all positions totaled 212.9 million bushels on March 1, down 13 percent from December 1997 but significantly above the 96.6 million bushels last March. Wheat stored in off-farm locations (mills, elevators, warehouses, and processors) totaled 187.9 million bushels and accounted for 88 percent of the total. On-farm stocks totaled 25.0 million bushels, compared with 9.5 million bushels last March.

Sorghum grain in all positions totaled 114.0 million bushels, down 34 percent from December 1997 and 13 percent from the level a year ago. Off-farm stocks accounted for 86.0 million bushels and on-farm stocks 28.0 million bushels.

Kansas corn stocks in all locations, at 170.8 million bushels, were down 26 percent from December but up 13 percent from stocks last March. Off-farmstocks were 122.8 million bushels, which accounted for 72 percent of the total corn stocks. On-farm stocks, at 48.0 million bushels, were down 13 percent from last March.

Off-farm oat stocks totaled 1.35 million bushels. On-farm stocks are no longer published separately for Kansas.

Kansas soybeans in all locations totaled 48.6 million bushels, down 28 percent from December, but up 56 percent from March 1997. Off-farm stocks, at 34.6 million bushels, were up 50 percent from last year and accounted for 71 percent of the total soybean stocks. On-farm stocks, at 14.0 million bushels, were up 75 percent from last year.

U.S. GRAIN STOCKS

Corn stocks in all positions on March 1, 1998, totaled 4.94 billion bushels, 10 percent above a year earlier.

All wheat stocks March 1, 1998 are estimated at 1.17 billion bushels in all positions, up 42 percent from March 1, 1997. Disappearance for the quarter ending March 1 is 453 million bushels, up 14 percent from the same period a year ago.

Soybeans stored in all positions on March 1, 1998, totaled 1.20 billion bushels, up 14 percent from holdings last year.

Barley stocks in all positions on March 1, 1998, totaled 177 million bushels, up 2 percent from a year ago.

Oats stored in all positions on March 1, 1998, totaled 111 million bushels, 17 percent above the stocks on March 1, 1997.

Grain sorghum stored in all positions on March 1, 1998 totaled 229 million bushels, down 17 percent from March 1 1997.

Table 2-- STOCKS OF GRAIN - MARCH 1, 1998, WITH COMPARISONS
Grain Position Kansas United States
Mar. 1,
1997
Dec. 1,
1997
Mar. 1,
1998
Mar. 1,
1997
Dec. 1,
1997
Mar. 1,
1998
1,000 Bushels
All Wheat On Farms 9,500 36,000 25,000 320,750 604,000 399,920
Off Farms 1/ 87,064 208,197 187,898 501,069 1,015,242 766,342
    TOTAL 96,564 244,197 212,898 821,819 1,619,242 1,166,262
Sorghum Grain On Farms 35,000 45,000 28,000 76,980 99,625 56,760
Off Farms 1/ 96,000 126,815 86,005 197,294 274,244 171,943
    TOTAL 131,000 171,815 114,005 274,274 373,869 228,703
Corn On Farms 55,000 83,000 48,000 2,870,000 4,822,000 2,975,000
Off Farms 1/ 95,848 147,598 122,767 1,624,128 2,424,756 1,962,130
    TOTAL 150,848 230,598 170,767 4,494,128 7,246,756 4,937,130
Oats On Farms 800 1,500 * 56,200 83,400 58,800
Off Farms 1/ 1,200 1,953 1,349 39,362 61,051 52,692
    TOTAL 2,000 3,453 * 95,562 144,451 111,492
Barley On Farms * * * 82,060 135,700 78,800
Off Farms 1/ 44 35 47 90,840 109,561 98,320
    TOTAL * * * 172,900 245,261 117,120
Soybeans On Farms 8,000 21,500 14,000 514,000 1,048,000 637,000
Off Farms 1/ 23,155 46,517 34,624 541,912 951,417 565,668
    TOTAL 31,155 68,017 48,624 1,055,912 1,999,417 1,202,668
1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, terminals, & processors.


Ron Sitzman & Aubrey Haynes, Agricultural Statisticians
Eldon J. Thiessen, State Statistician
Eddie Wells, Deputy State Statistician

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