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CROPS

KANSAS AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE
Kansas Department of Agriculture
PO Box 3534
Topeka, KS 66601-3534
Phone: 785-233-2230

Released: June 19, 2000
Volume 00, No. 6

Text Box

INCLUDED
IN THIS
ISSUE

WHEAT
PRODUCTION


WHEAT PRODUCTION DOWN FROM MAY FORECAST

The 2000 Kansas wheat crop is forecast at 386.4 million bushels as of June 1, 2000, according to Kansas Agricultural Statistics Service (see table 1). The current estimate is down 5 percent from the May 1 estimate and 11 percent from the 1999 crop. The current crop will be harvested from 9.2 million acres, unchanged from the acres harvested in 1999. Yield per harvested acre is expected to average 42.0 bushels, 2 bushels below the May forecast and 5.0 bushels below the 1999 final yield.

As of June 4, wheat condition is rated 4 percent excellent, 33 percent good, 40 percent fair, 16 percent poor, and 7 percent very poor. Wheat heading is complete, and 87 percent of the acreage has begun to turn color. This is ahead of the 52 percent in 1999 and well ahead of the average of 40 percent. Nine percent of the acreage is ripe. The crop is maturing rapidly with the dry, warm weather.

Table 1-- KANSAS WHEAT PRODUCTION, JUNE 1, 2000
District Acres Planted Acres Harvested Yield Per Acre Production
1999 2000 1999 2000 % of
Prev. Yr 		1999 2000 1999 2000 % of
Prev. Yr
WINTER WHEAT - - - - - - - - 1,000 Acres - - - - - - - Percent Bushels 1,000 Bushels Percent
Northwest 1,100 1,090 1,025 1,030 100 47 40 48,569 41,700 86
West Central 1,217 1,200 1,075 1,125 105 46 42 49,773 47,800 96
Southwest 1,635 1,600 1,470 1,500 102 54 41 79,380 62,200 78
North Central 1,344 1,340 1,250 1,245 100 49 40 60,960 50,400 83
Central 1,590 1,530 1,436 1,425 99 46 43 66,364 61,900 93
South Central 2,384 2,322 2,254 2,200 98 45 43 102,332 95,600 93
Northeast 174 170 170 160 94 44 42 7,562 6,700 89
East Central 157 157 150 150 100 35 35 5,250 5,300 101
Southeast 399 391 370 365 99 33 41 12,210 14,800 121
    State 10,000 9,800 9,200 9,200 100 47 42 432,400 386,400 89

U.S. WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION DOWN 5 PERCENT

Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.62 billion bushels, down 2 percent from the May 1 forecast and 5 percent below 1999 (see table 2). Based on June 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 46.7 bushels per acre, down 0.8 bushel from the last forecast. Grain area totals 34.7 million acres, unchanged from May 1. Hard Red production is down 3 percent from a month ago to 944 million bushels. White Winter is up 1 percent from last month. Soft Red is up 1 percent from the last forecast and now totals 448 million bushels.

Forecasted head counts from the Objective Yield surveys in the six Hard Red Winter states (Colorado,

Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas) are slightly below last year's final counts. Average

head weights are well below last year's level. Winter wheat conditions in Kansas have dropped during May, leading to reduced yield potential. Temperatures in the 25-30 degree range hit the eastern plains of Colorado on May 13th. Most damage was in east central area of Colorado where the wheat was flowering. Crop progress is two weeks ahead of normal in Nebraska. Moisture supplies are adequate in most areas of Oklahoma. Lingering effects of the drought have had a significant impact on most of the major wheat producing areas of Texas.

Table 2-- WINTER WHEAT, KANSAS AND SELECTED STATES, JUNE 1, 2000
State Acreage Yield Per Acre Production
Harveste d
1999 		For Harvest
2000 		% of
Prev. Yr. 		1999 2000 1999 2000 % of
Prev. Yr.
1,000 Acres Percent Bushels 1,000 Bushels Percent
KANSAS 9,200 9,200 100 47 42 432,400 386,400 89
Oklahoma 4,300 4,100 95 35 37 150,500 151,700 101
Washington 1,670 1,750 105 58 69 96,860 120,750 125
Texas 3,400 2,200 65 36 31 122,400 68,200 56
Colorado 2,400 2,350 98 43 40 103,200 94,000 91
Nebraska 1,800 1,750 97 48 42 86,400 73,500 85
Illinois 1,010 910 90 60 55 60,600 50,050 83
Missouri 920 920 100 48 51 44,160 46,920 106
Montana 970 1,430 147 38 35 36,860 50,050 136
Oregon 630 740 117 47 60 29,610 44,400 150
United States 35,572 34,709 98 47 .8 46 .7 1,699,989 1,621,966 95


Doug Hartwig and Ron Sitzman, Agricultural Statisticians
Eldon J. Thiessen, State Statistician
Eddie Wells, Deputy State Statistician

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