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CROPS

KANSAS AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE
Kansas Department of Agriculture
PO Box 3534
Topeka, KS 66601-3534
Phone: 785-233-2230

Released: November 12, 2002
Volume 02, No. 11

Text Box

INCLUDED
IN THIS
ISSUE

CROP
PRODUCTION

SMALLER SORGHUM CROP FORECAST

Kansas corn production is forecast at 286.0 million bushels, unchanged from the previous forecast but 26 percent below last year's crop (see table 1). Yields are expected to average 110 bushels per acre, unchanged from the previous forecast but 17 bushels below last year's yield. Acreage harvested for grain, at 2.60 million, is unchanged from the previous forecast but down 450,000 acres from 2001.

Sorghum grain production is expected to total 142.6 million bushels, down 4 percent from the October forecast and down 39 percent from last year. Yields are forecast to average 46 bushels per acre, down 2 bushels from October 1 and 16 bushels below last year. Acreage for harvest is expected to total 3.10 million, unchanged from the previous forecast but down 650,000 acres from 2001.

The soybean crop is expected to total 62.4 million bushels, unchanged from October 1 but 29 percent below last year's crop. Yields are expected to average 24 bushels per acre, unchanged from last month but 8 bushels under last year's yield. Acreage for harvest is expected to total 2.60 million, unchanged from the previous month but 130,000 acres fewer than 2001.

Table 1-- KANSAS CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1, 2002
Crop & Unit Planted 1/ Harvested Yield per Acre 2/ Production
2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002
1,000 Acres Units (000's)
Winter Wheat, bu. 3/ 9,800 9,600 8,200 8,100 40 33 328,000 267,300
Oats, bu. 3/ 100 140 40 60 53 52 2,120 3,120
Barley, bu. 3/ 9 8 8 7 50 34 400 238
Corn Grain, bu. 3,450 3,150 3,050 2,600 127 110 387,350 286,000
Sorghum Grain, bu. 4,000 3,900 3,750 3,100 62 46 232,500 142,600
Soybeans, bu. 2,850 2,800 2,730 2,600 32 24 87,360 62,400
All Sunflowers, lbs 3/ 4/ 335 255 323 239 1,213 1,000 391,890 239,000
Dry Beans, cwt. 3/ 4/ 15 .0 18 .0 14 .0 17 .0 1,850 1,100 259 187
All Hay, tons 3/ - - 3,300 3,050 2 .42 2 .16 7,980 6,575
    Alfalfa Hay, tons - - 900 1,000 4 .60 3 .50 4,140 3,500
    Other Hay, tons - - 2,400 2,050 1 .60 1 .50 3,840 3,075
1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ Production divided by harvested acres and rounded to whole bushels. 3/ Estimate carried forward from earlier forecast. 4/ Yield in pounds.

CORN PRODUCTION UP SLIGHTLY FROM OCTOBER

Corn for grain production is forecast at 9.00 billion bushels, up slightly from last month but down 5 percent from 2001. Based on conditions as of November 1, yields are expected to average 127.6 bushels per acre, up 0.4 bushel from October but down 10.6 bushels from last year. If realized, production would be at the lowest level since 1995. Acreage harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at 70.5 million acres, unchanged from October but up 3 percent from 2001. The November 1 corn objective yield data indicate ear counts per acre for the combined seven objective yield states (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ohio, and Wisconsin) are down slightly from last month. If realized, ear counts will be the highest on record in Iowa while the remaining states are down from 2001.

Sorghum grain production is forecast at 381 million bushels, down 1 percent from last month and down 26

percent from last year. If realized, this will be the lowest production since 1956. Based on November 1 conditions, the sorghum yield forecast, at 50.7 bushels per acre, is down 0.7 bushel from October and down 9.2 bushels from last year. The forecast area to be harvested for grain, at 7.53 million acres, unchanged from last month but 12 percent lower than 2001.

Soybean production is forecast at 2.69 billion bushels, up 1 percent from October but 7 percent below 2001. Based on November 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 37.5 bushels per acre, up 0.5 bushel from last month. If realized, this would be the lowest production since 1999. Growers expect to harvest 71.8 million acres of soybeans, unchanged from the October forecast but 2 percent below last year.

Table 2-- UNITED STATES CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1, 2002
Crop & Unit Planted 1/ Harvested Yield per Acre 2/ Production
2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002
1,000 Acres Units (000's)
All Wheat, bu. 3/ 59,597 60,358 48,633 45,817 40 .2 35 .3 1,957,043 1,616,441
Winter Wheat, bu. 3/ 41,078 41,735 31,295 29,651 43 .5 38 .5 1,361,479 1,142,802
Oats, bu. 3/ 4,403 5,005 1,905 2,098 61 .4 56 .8 117,024 119,132
Barley, bu. 3/ 4,967 5,073 4,289 4,135 58 .2 54 .9 249,420 226,873
Rye, bu. 3/ 1,328 1,395 255 286 27 .3 24 .4 6,971 6,985
Corn Grain, bu. 75,752 78,847 68,808 70,541 138 .2 127 .6 9,506,840 9,003,364
Sorghum Grain, bu. 10,252 9,290 8,584 7,528 59 .9 50 .7 514,524 381,499
Soybeans, bu. 74,075 73,043 72,975 71,799 39 .6 37 .5 2,890,682 2,689,691
All Sunflowers, lbs. 3/ 4/ 2,633 2,486 2,555 2,320 1,338 .0 1,118 .0 3,418,759 2,592,753
Dry Beans, cwt. 3/ 4/ 1,429 .9 1,874 .3 1,243 .0 1,690 .6 1,572 .0 1,632 .0 19,541 27,594
Cotton, 480 lb. Bales 3/ 4/ 15,768 .5 14,380 .5 13,827 .7 12,861 .4 705 .0 665 .0 20,302 .8 17,815 .0
All Hay, tons 3/ - - 63,511 64,709 2 .47 2 .32 156,703 150,447
    Alfalfa Hay, tons - - 23,812 24,134 3 .37 3 .09 80,266 74,655
    Other Hay, tons - - 39,699 40,575 1 .93 1 .87 76,437 75,792
1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ Production divided by harvested acres and rounded to whole bushels. 3/ Estimate carried forward from earlier forecast. 4/ Yield in pounds.

Table 3-- KANSAS CROP PRODUCTION FORECAST, NOVEMBER 1, 2002, BY DISTRICTS
Crop And District Acres Planted,
All Purposes 		Acres Harvested
for Grain 		Yield
per Acre 1/ 		Production
2001 2002 2001 2002 % Prev.
Year 		2001 2002 2001 2002 % Prev.
Year
------------ 1,000 Acres ------------ Bushels 1,000 Bushels
CORN
Northwest 588 460 538 260 48 118 100 63,680 26,000 41
West Central 305 240 256 135 53 104 93 26,720 12,500 47
Southwest 846 740 777 680 88 164 162 127,500 110,000 86
North Central 219 230 190 160 84 107 94 20,420 15,000 74
Central 158 160 120 130 108 103 115 12,315 15,000 122
South Central 424 380 359 350 97 131 134 47,075 47,000 100
Northeast 478 490 424 460 108 123 62 52,185 28,500 55
East Central 261 260 229 245 107 98 67 22,465 16,500 73
Southeast 171 190 157 180 115 95 86 14,990 15,500 103
    State 3,450 3,150 3,050 2,600 85 127 110 387,350 286,000 74
SORGHUM GRAIN
Northwest 224 210 207 130 63 70 34 14,572 4,450 31
West Central 618 540 570 310 54 66 29 37,693 8,850 24
Southwest 796 735 757 445 59 54 40 41,173 17,850 43
North Central 599 625 572 530 93 78 38 44,406 20,400 46
Central 543 575 514 545 106 60 44 30,941 23,900 77
South Central 645 685 574 645 112 41 53 23,350 33,900 145
Northeast 153 125 147 115 78 89 56 13,037 6,450 50
East Central 138 145 132 125 95 72 64 9,535 7,950 83
Southeast 284 260 277 255 92 64 74 17,793 18,850 106
    State 4,000 3,900 3,750 3,100 83 62 46 232,500 142,600 61
SOYBEANS
Northwest 60 75 58 55 95 40 35 2,325 1,900 82
West Central 24 32 20 20 100 35 20 705 400 57
Southwest 94 105 89 88 99 46 49 4,066 4,300 106
North Central 299 326 292 280 96 33 24 9,648 6,700 69
Central 207 216 197 202 103 30 20 5,868 4,000 68
South Central 273 240 235 225 96 36 37 8,457 8,300 98
Northeast 613 628 600 595 99 39 23 23,140 13,600 59
East Central 633 598 620 575 93 31 19 19,038 11,100 58
Southeast 647 580 619 560 90 32 22 14,113 12,100 86
    State 2,850 2,800 2,730 2,600 95 32 24 87,360 62,400 71
1/ Production divided by harvested acres rounded to whole bushels.


Dave Ranek & Quentin Wearne, Agricultural Statisticians
Eldon J. Thiessen, State Statistician
Eddie Wells, Deputy State Statistician

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