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CROPS

KANSAS AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE
Kansas Department of Agriculture
PO Box 3534
Topeka, KS 66601-3534
Phone: 785-233-2230

Released: October 11, 2002
Volume 02, No. 10

Text Box


INCLUDED
IN THIS
ISSUE

CROP
PRODUCTION

GRAIN
STOCKS

KANSAS CORN YIELD FORECAST RAISED

Kansas corn production is expected to total 286.0 million bushels, 5 percent above the previous forecast but 26 percent below last year's crop. Acreage harvested for grain, at 2.60 million acres, is unchanged from the previous forecast but down 15 percent from 2001. Corn yields are expected to average 110 bushels per acre, up 5 bushels from September 1 but 17 bushels below the previous year.

Sorghum grain production is forecast at 148.8 million bushels, down 36 percent from last year. Kansas remains first in the Nation in sorghum production. Yields are expected to average 48 bushels per acre, unchanged from last month but down 14 bushels from last year's yield. Acreage for harvest as grain is 3.10 million acres, unchanged from September 1 but down 650,000 acres from 2001.

Soybean production in Kansas is expected to total 62.4 million bushels, up 4 percent from September 1 but 29 percent below last year's crop. Acreage for harvest is expected to total 2.60 million acres, unchanged from September 1 but 130,000 acres below last year. Yields are expected to average 24 bushels per acre, up 1 bushel from September 1 but 8 bushels below 2001.

Kansas sunflower production is forecast at 239.0 million pounds, down 39 percent from last year. Harvested acreage, at 239,000, is down 84,000 acres from last year. The yield is expected to average 1,000 pounds per acre, down 18 percent from last year.

All hay production is estimated to total 6.58 million tons, down 18 percent from 2001. Kansas acreage harvested is 3.05 million acres, down 250,000 acres from last year.

Kansas wheat production for 2002 is estimated at 267.3 million bushels, up 1 percent from the August forecast but down 19 percent from 2001. Yield is estimated at 33.0 bushels per acre, unchanged from the August forecast but 7 bushels below the 2001 yield. Acres harvested for grain totaled 8.10 million acres, up 100,000 acres from the previous forecast but down 100,000 from the 2001 harvest. A total of 9.60 million acres were planted to wheat for harvest in 2002, up 100,000 acres from the August forecast but down 200,000 acres from the previous year.

Estimates of Kansas corn, sorghum, and soybean production by district are shown in table 2 on the following page. Wheat county and district data are not included in this report but will be released in early 2003.

Table 1-- KANSAS CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1, 2002
Crop &
Unit 		Planted 1/ Harvested Yield per Acre 2/ Production
2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002
1,000 Acres Per Unit (000's)
Winter Wheat, bu. 9,800 9,600 8,200 8,100 40 33 328,000 267,300
Oats, bu. 100 140 40 60 53 52 2,120 3,120
Barley, bu. 9 8 8 7 50 34 400 238
Corn Grain, bu. 3,450 3,150 3,050 2,600 127 110 387,350 286,000
Sorghum Grain, bu. 4,000 3,900 3,750 3,100 62 48 232,500 148,800
Soybeans, bu. 2,850 2,800 2,730 2,600 32 24 87,360 62,400
All Sunflowers, lbs 335 255 323 239 1,213 1,000 391,890 239,000
    Oil, lbs 300 240 290 225 1,200 4/ 348,000 4/
    Non-Oil, lbs 35 15 33 14 1,330 4/ 43,890 4/
Dry Beans, cwt. 3/ 15 .0 18 .0 14 .0 17 .0 1,850 1,100 259 187
All Hay, tons - - 3,300 3,050 2 .42 2 .16 7,980 6,575
    Alfalfa Hay, tons - - 900 1,000 4 .60 3 .50 4,140 3,500
    Other Hay, tons - - 2,400 2,050 1 .60 1 .50 3,840 3,075
Pecans, lbs. - - - - - - 2,200 1,700

1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ Production divided by harvested acres rounded to whole bushels. 3/ Yield in pounds.
4/ 2002 yield and production estimates for oil and non-oil varieties will be published in the "Crop Production 2002 Summary" on January 10, 2003.

Table 2-- KANSAS CROP PRODUCTION FORECAST, OCTOBER 1, 2002, BY DISTRICTS
Crop And District Acres Planted,
All Purposes 		Acres Harvested
for Grain 		Yield
per Acre 		Production
2001 2002 2001 2002 % Prev.
Year 		2001 2002 2001 2002 % Prev.
Year
------------ 1,000 Acres ------------ Bushels 1,000 Bushels
CORN
Northwest 588 460 538 260 48 118 100 63,680 26,000 41
West Central 305 240 256 135 53 104 93 26,720 12,500 47
Southwest 846 740 777 680 88 164 162 127,500 110,000 86
North Central 219 230 190 160 84 107 94 20,420 15,000 74
Central 158 160 120 130 108 103 115 12,315 15,000 122
South Central 424 380 359 350 97 131 134 47,075 47,000 100
Northeast 478 490 424 460 108 123 62 52,185 28,500 55
East Central 261 260 229 245 107 98 67 22,465 16,500 73
Southeast 171 190 157 180 115 95 86 14,990 15,500 103
    State 3,450 3,150 3,050 2,600 85 127 110 387,350 286,000 74
SORGHUM GRAIN
Northwest 224 210 207 130 63 70 29 14,572 3,750 26
West Central 618 540 570 310 54 66 25 37,693 7,850 21
Southwest 796 735 757 445 59 54 40 41,173 17,800 43
North Central 599 625 572 530 93 78 43 44,406 22,750 51
Central 543 575 514 545 106 60 45 30,941 24,750 80
South Central 645 685 574 645 112 41 55 23,350 35,650 153
Northeast 153 125 147 115 78 89 66 13,037 7,600 58
East Central 138 145 132 125 95 72 71 9,535 8,850 93
Southeast 284 260 277 255 92 64 78 17,793 19,800 111
    State 4,000 3,900 3,750 3,100 83 62 48 232,500 148,800 64
SOYBEANS
Northwest 60 75 58 55 95 40 38 2,325 2,100 90
West Central 24 32 20 20 100 35 20 705 400 57
Southwest 94 105 89 88 99 46 45 4,066 4,000 98
North Central 299 326 292 280 96 33 23 9,648 6,500 67
Central 207 216 197 202 103 30 21 5,868 4,200 72
South Central 273 240 235 225 96 36 36 8,457 8,200 97
Northeast 613 628 600 595 99 39 22 23,140 12,800 55
East Central 633 598 620 575 93 31 19 19,038 11,100 58
Southeast 647 580 619 560 90 32 23 14,113 13,100 93
    State 2,850 2,800 2,730 2,600 95 32 24 87,360 62,400 71

Table 3-- UNITED STATES CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1, 2002
Crop &
Unit 		Planted 1/ Harvested Yield per Acre Production
2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002
1,000 Acres Per Unit (000's)
All Wheat, bu. 59,597 60,358 48,633 46,022 40 .2 35 .3 1,957,043 1,624,636
Winter Wheat, bu. 41,078 41,735 31,295 29,651 43 .5 38 .5 1,361,479 1,142,802
Oats, bu. 4,403 5,005 1,905 2,098 61 .4 56 .8 117,024 119,132
Barley, bu. 4,967 5,073 4,289 4,135 58 .2 54 .9 249,420 226,873
Rye, bu. 1,328 1,395 255 286 27 .3 24 .4 6,971 6,985
Corn Grain, bu. 75,752 78,847 68,808 70,541 138 .2 127 .2 9,506,840 8,969,836
Sorghum Grain, bu. 10,252 9,290 8,584 7,528 59 .9 51 .4 514,524 387,249
Soybeans, bu. 74,075 73,043 72,975 71,799 39 .6 37 .0 2,890,682 2,653,798
All Sunflowers, lbs. 2,633 2,486 2,555 2,320 1,338 1,118 3,418,759 2,592,753
    Oil, lbs. 2,117 2,095 2,060 1,965 1,361 3/ 2,803,704 3/
    Non-Oil, lbs. 516 391 495 355 1,243 3/ 615,055 3/
Dry Beans, cwt. 2/ 1,429 .9 1,874 .3 1,243 .0 1,690 .6 1,572 1,632 19,541 27,594
Cotton, bales 15,768 .5 14,380 .5 13,827 .7 12,861 .4 705 674 20,302 .8 18,070 .0
All Hay, tons - - 63,511 64,709 2 .47 2 .32 156,703 150,447
    Alfalfa Hay, tons - - 23,812 24,134 3 .37 3 .09 80,266 74,655
    Other Hay, tons - - 39,699 40,575 1 .93 1 .87 76,437 75,792
Pecans, lbs. - - - - - - 338,500 201,700
Apples, lbs. - - - - - - 9,629 .1 8,910 .6
1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ 2002 yield and production estimates for oil and non-oil varieties will be published in the "Crop Production 2002 Summary" on January 10, 2003.

U.S. CROP PRODUCTION

Corn grain production is forecast at 8.97 billion bushels, up 1 percent from last month, but down 6 percent from 2001. Based on conditions as of October 1, yields are expected to average 127.2 bushels per acre, up 1.8 bushels from last month. If realized, this would be the lowest production since 1995. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 70.5 million acres, unchanged from last month but up 3 percent from 2001.

Sorghum grain production is forecast at 387 million bushels, up slightly from September but down 25 percent from 2001. Area harvested and to be harvested, at 7.53 million acres, is unchanged from last month but 12 percent lower than 2001. The U.S. yield is forecast at 51.4 bushels per acre, up .4 bushel from last month but down 8.5 bushel from last year. The yield forecast from September remained unchanged for Kansas but was up 2.0 bushels for Texas; the two states account for 72 percent of the U.S. production.

Soybean production is forecast at 2.65 billion bushels, virtually unchanged from September 1 but 8 percent below 2001. The yield forecast, at 37.0 bushels per acre, is unchanged from last month but 2.6 bushels below 2001. Forecasted yields are up in the central Great Plains as September weather provided beneficial showers. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 71.8 million acres, unchanged from September 1 but 2 percent below 2001.

GRAIN STOCKS

Kansas wheat stocks in all positions on September 1 totaled 255.3 million bushels, 32 percent less than last year's total. Wheat stored in off-farm locations (mills, elevators, warehouses, and processors) totaled 219.3 million bushels, a decrease of 34 percent from a year ago. Wheat stored off the farm accounted for 86 percent of all wheat stocks. Wheat in farm storage totaled 36.0 million bushels, down 20 percent from last September.

Sorghum grain in all positions totaled 29.5 million bushels, up from 22.9 million bushels last year. Off-farm holdings of 25.9 million bushels were up from 18.9 million bushels last year. Sorghum grain stored off the farm accounted for 88 percent of the total sorghum stocks. On-farm stocks of 3.6 million bushels were down 400,000 bushels from a year ago.

Corn stocks in all locations, at 52.9 million bushels, were up 9 percent from a year ago. Off-farm corn stocks of 37.4 million bushels were down slightly from 37.7 million bushels last year and accounted for 71 percent of total corn stocks. On-farm stocks of 15.5 million bushels were 41 percent above last September.

Kansas soybeans stored in all positions totaled 5.3 million bushels, down 2.1 million bushels from last year. Off-farm locations held 4.2 million bushels, down 1.6 million bushels from last year, and accounted for 79 percent of total soybean stocks. On-farm stocks of 1.1 million bushels are 500,000 bushels below last year.

Oats stored at off-farm locations totaled 778,000 bushels, up 30 percent from September 2001.

Barley stored at off-farm locations totaled 62,000 bushels, compared with 132,000 a year earlier.


Table 4-- STOCKS OF GRAIN , SEPTEMBER 1, 2002, WITH COMPARISONS
Grain Position Kansas United States
Sept. 1,
2001 		June 1,
2002 		Sept. 1,
2002 		Sept. 1,
2001 		June 1,
2002 		Sept. 1,
2002
1,000 Bushels
All Wheat On Farms 45,000 13,000 36,000 696,850 216,830 588,200
Off Farms 1/ 332,309 108,625 219,271 1,458,964 560,282 1,151,952
    TOTAL 377,309 121,625 255,271 2,155,814 777,112 1,740,152
Sorghum Grain On Farms 4,000 9,000 3,600 8,900 17,300 7,400
Off Farms 1/ 18,882 41,136 25,911 32,851 88,178 51,975
    TOTAL 22,882 50,136 29,511 41,751 105,478 59,375
Corn On Farms 11,000 27,000 15,500 753,150 2,020,600 586,800
Off Farms 1/ 37,703 77,824 37,407 1,145,958 1,576,290 1,012,620
    TOTAL 48,703 104,824 52,907 1,899,108 3,596,890 1,599,420
Oats On Farms 2/ 2/ 2/ 74,800 28,650 70,500
Off Farms 1/ 597 222 778 41,592 34,552 40,982
    TOTAL 2/ 2/ 2/ 116,392 63,202 111,482
Barley On Farms 2/ 2/ 2/ 134,800 23,210 131,600
Off Farms 1/ 132 31 62 110,564 69,631 92,419
    TOTAL 2/ 2/ 2/ 245,364 92,841 224,019
Soybeans On Farms 1,600 5,500 1,100 83,500 301,200 62,700
Off Farms 1/ 5,809 14,950 4,195 164,247 383,721 145,487
    TOTAL 7,409 20,450 5,295 247,747 684,921 208,187
1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, terminals, & processors. 2/ No estimate available.

Dave Ranek & Quentin Wearne, Agricultural Statisticians
Eldon J. Thiessen, State Statistician
Eddie Wells, Deputy State Statistician

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