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CROPS

KANSAS AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE
Kansas Department of Agriculture
PO Box 3534
Topeka, KS 66601-3534
Phone: 785-233-2230

Released: November 12, 2003
Volume 03, No. 11


Text Box

INCLUDED
IN THIS
ISSUE

CROP
PRODUCTION



Kansas Soybean Crop Forecast Increases

Kansas corn production is forecast at 326.0 million bushels, unchanged from the previous forecast but 12 percent above last year's crop. Yields are expected to average 123 bushels per acre, unchanged from the previous forecast but 7 bushels above last year's yield. Acreage harvested for grain, at 2.65 million, is unchanged from the previous forecast but up 150,000 acres from 2002.

Sorghum grain production is expected to total 133.3 million bushels, unchanged from the October forecast but down 1 percent from last year. Yields are forecast to average 43 bushels per acre, unchanged from October 1 but 2 bushels below last year. Acreage for harvest is expected to total 3.10 million, unchanged from the previous forecast but down 100,000 acres from 2002.

The soybean crop is expected to total 57.5 million bushels, up 5 percent from October 1 but 2 percent below last year's crop. Yields are expected to average 23 bushels per acre, up 1 bushel from last month but unchanged from last year's yield. Acreage for harvest is expected to total 2.50 million, unchanged from the previous month but 40,000 acres fewer than 2002.

Kansas Crop Production, November 1, 2003
Crop & Unit Planted 1/ Harvested Yield per Acre 2/ Production
2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003
1,000 Acres Units (000's)
Winter Wheat, bu. 3/ 9,600 10,400 8,100 10,000 33 48 267,300 480,000
Oats, bu. 3/ 140 140 60 70 52 65 3,120 4,550
Barley, bu. 3/ 8 9 7 8 34 57 238 456
Corn Grain, bu. 3,250 2,900 2,500 2,650 116 123 290,000 325,950
Sorghum Grain, bu. 3,800 3,600 3,000 3,100 45 43 135,000 133,300
Soybeans, bu. 2,750 2,600 2,540 2,500 23 23 58,420 57,500
All Sunflowers, lbs 3/ 4/ 215 190 168 179 902 1,250 151,590 223,750
Dry Beans, cwt. 3/ 4/ 18 .0 12 .0 14 .5 11 .0 1,100 1,700 160 187
All Hay, tons 3/ - - 3,250 3,100 2 .14 2 .27 6,965 7,050
    Alfalfa Hay, tons - - 950 950 3 .70 3 .80 3,515 3,610
    Other Hay, tons - - 2,300 2,150 1 .50 1 .60 2,900 3,440
1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ Production divided by harvested acres and rounded to whole bushels. 3/ Estimate carried forward from earlier forecast. 4/ Yield in pounds.

U.S. Corn Production Up Slightly from October

Corn for grain production is forecast at 10.3 billion bushels, up 1 percent from last month and 14 percent above 2002. Based on conditions as of November 1, yields are expected to average 143.2 bushels per acre, up 1.0 bushel from October and up 13.2 bushels from last year. If realized, both production and yield would be the largest on record. Acreage harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at 71.8 million acres, unchanged from October but up 4 percent from 2002. The November 1 corn objective yield data indicate ear counts per acre for the combined seven objective yield states (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ohio, and Wisconsin) are at a record high, 4 percent above the previous high in 2000 and 6 percent above

last year. Indicated ear counts are the highest on record in six of the seven objective yield states. Nebraska's ear count is the third highest on record, below 1999 and 2000.

Sorghum grain production is forecast at 400 million bushels, virtually unchanged from the October forecast but up 8 percent from last year. Based on November 1 conditions, the sorghum yield forecast, at 51.0 bushels per acre, is unchanged from last month but up 0.3 bushel from last year. The forecast area to be harvested for grain is 7.85 million acres, unchanged from last month but 8 percent above last year.

Soybean production is forecast at 2.45 billion bushels, down 1 percent from October and 11 percent below 2002. If realized, this would be the lowest production since 1996. Based on November 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 33.8 bushels per acre, down 0.2 bushel from last month and down 4.2 bushels from 2002. Growers expect to harvest 72.5 million acres of soybeans, unchanged from the October forecast but up fractionally from 2002.

United States Crop Production, November 1, 2003
Crop & Unit Planted 1/ Harvested Yield per Acre 2/ Production
2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003
1,000 Acres Units (000's)
All Wheat, bu. 3/ 60,468 61,700 45,917 52,839 35 .3 44 .2 1,619,001 2,336,526
Winter Wheat, bu. 3/ 41,845 44,945 29,751 36,541 38 .5 46 .7 1,145,602 1,707,069
Oats, bu. 3/ 4,995 4,601 2,093 2,224 56 .7 65 .0 118,628 144,649
Barley, bu. 3/ 5,071 5,299 4,129 4,688 54 .9 58 .9 226,573 276,087
Rye, bu. 3/ 1,395 1,368 281 339 24 .8 27 .3 6,955 9,254
Corn Grain, bu. 79,054 79,066 69,313 71,765 130 .0 143 .2 9,007,659 10,277,932
Sorghum Grain, bu. 9,580 9,509 7,299 7,851 50 .7 51 .0 369,758 400,012
Soybeans, bu. 73,923 73,585 72,437 72,538 38 .0 33 .8 2,749,340 2,451,759
All Sunflowers, lbs. 3/ 4/ 2,580 2,364 2,180 2,274 1,142 1,152 2,489,606 2,619,497
Dry Beans, cwt. 3/ 4/ 1,922 .1 1,501 .2 1,726 .9 1,417 .8 1,736 1,665 29,974 23,603
All Cotton, 480 lb. Bales 3/ 4/ 13,957 .9 13,631 .0 12,426 .6 12,107 .4 665 722 17,208 .6 18,215 .0
All Hay, tons 3/ - - 64,497 64,379 2 .34 2 .50 150,962 160,706
    Alfalfa Hay, tons - - 23,135 23,541 3 .19 3 .34 73,824 78,523
    Other Hay, tons - - 41,362 40,838 1 .86 2 .01 77,138 82,183
1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ Production divided by harvested acres and rounded to whole bushels. 3/ Estimate carried forward from earlier forecast. 4/ Yield in pounds.


Kansas Crop Production Forecast, November 1, 2003, by Districts
Crop And District Acres Planted,
All Purposes
Acres Harvested
for Grain
Yield
per Acre 1/
Production
2002 2003 2002 2003 % Prev.
Year
2002 2003 2002 2003 % Prev.
Year
------------ 1,000 Acres ------------ Bushels 1,000 Bushels
CORN
Northwest 500 420 263 340 129 111 122 29,145 41,600 143
West Central 238 230 119 190 160 90 131 10,680 24,800 232
Southwest 774 540 693 520 75 168 184 116,480 95,500 82
North Central 224 190 138 170 123 99 111 13,720 18,800 137
Central 133 120 94 110 117 118 125 11,110 13,700 123
South Central 358 370 313 350 112 150 149 46,960 52,000 111
Northeast 520 480 428 450 105 62 75 26,330 33,700 128
East Central 283 290 244 275 113 68 82 16,620 22,650 136
Southeast 220 260 208 245 118 91 95 18,955 23,200 122
    State 3,250 2,900 2,500 2,650 106 116 123 290,000 325,950 112
SOYBEANS
Northwest 65 70 54 68 126 40 38 2,160 2,610 121
West Central 24 35 20 33 165 25 17 500 550 110
Southwest 77 95 71 93 131 45 47 3,195 4,410 138
North Central 306 310 250 270 108 20 25 5,000 6,665 133
Central 202 170 166 167 101 23 19 3,800 3,150 83
South Central 229 215 218 210 96 39 38 8,522 8,045 94
Northeast 612 615 575 600 104 22 21 12,650 12,830 101
East Central 641 600 615 585 95 19 17 11,408 10,015 88
Southeast 594 490 571 474 83 20 19 11,185 9,235 83
    State 2,750 2,600 2,540 2,500 98 23 23 58,420 57,500 98
1/ Production divided by harvested acres rounded to whole bushels.


Dave Ranek & Quentin Wearne, Agricultural Statisticians
Eldon J. Thiessen, State Statistician
Eddie Wells, Deputy State Statistician

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