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CROPS

KANSAS AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE
Kansas Department of Agriculture
PO Box 3534
Topeka, KS 66601-3534
Phone: 785-233-2230

Released: October 10, 2003
Volume 03, No. 10

Text Box


INCLUDED
IN THIS
ISSUE

CROP
PRODUCTION

GRAIN
STOCKS

Kansas Corn Yield Forecast Raised

Kansas corn production is expected to total 326.0 million bushels, 3 percent above the previous forecast and 14 percent above last year's crop. Acreage harvested for grain, at 2.65 million acres, is unchanged from the previous forecast but up 2 percent from 2002. Corn yields are expected to average 123 bushels per acre, up 3 bushels from September 1 and 13 bushels above the previous year.

Sorghum grain production is forecast at 133.3 million bushels, down 10 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 43 bushels per acre, unchanged from last month but down 5 bushels from last year's yield. Acreage for harvest as grain is 3.10 million acres, down 100,000 acres from September 1 but unchanged from 2002.

Soybean production in Kansas is expected to total 55.0 million bushels, up 6 percent from September 1 but 12 percent below last year's crop. Acreage for harvest is expected to total 2.50 million acres, down 100,000 acres from both September 1 and last year. Yields are expected to average 22 bushels per acre, up 2 bushels from September 1 but 2 bushels below 2002.

Kansas sunflower production is forecast at 223.8 million pounds, down 6 percent from last year. Harvested acreage, at 179,000, is down 60,000 acres from last year. The yield is expected to average 1,250 pounds per acre, up 25 percent from last year.

All hay production is estimated to total 7.05 million tons, up 7 percent from 2002. Kansas acreage harvested is 3.1 million acres, down 150,000 acres from last year.

Kansas wheat production for 2003 is estimated at 480.0 million bushels, up 80 percent from 2002. Yield is estimated at 48.0 bushels per acre, 15 bushels above the 2002 yield. Acres harvested for grain totaled 10.0 million acres, up 1.9 million from the 2002 harvest. A total of 10.4 million acres were planted to wheat for harvest in 2003, up 800,000 acres from the previous year.

Estimates of Kansas corn and soybean production by district are shown on the following page. Wheat county and district data are not included in this report but will be released in early 2004.

Kansas Crop Production, October 1, 2003
Crop &
Unit 		Planted 1/ Harvested Yield per Acre 2/ Production
2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003
1,000 Acres Per Unit (000's)
Winter Wheat, bu. 9,600 10,400 8,100 10,000 33 48 267,300 480,000
Oats, bu. 140 140 60 70 52 65 3,120 4,550
Barley, bu. 8 9 7 8 34 57 238 456
Corn Grain, bu. 3,250 2,900 2,500 2,650 116 123 290,000 325,950
Sorghum Grain, bu. 3,800 3,600 3,000 3,100 45 43 135,000 133,300
Soybeans, bu. 2,750 2,600 2,540 2,500 23 22 58,420 55,000
All Sunflowers, lbs 215 190 168 179 902 1,250 151,590 223,750
    Oil, lbs 200 170 155 160 4/ 4/
    Non-Oil, lbs 15 20 13 19 4/ 4/
Dry Beans, cwt. 3/ 18 .0 12 .0 14 .5 11 .0 1,100 1,700 160 187
All Hay, tons - - 3,250 3,100 2 .14 2 .27 6,965 7,050
    Alfalfa Hay, tons - - 950 950 3 .70 3 .80 3,515 3,610
    Other Hay, tons - - 2,300 2,150 1 .50 1 .60 3,450 3,440
Pecans, lbs. - - - - - - 2,900 2,300
1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ Production divided by harvested acres rounded to whole bushels. 3/ Yield in pounds.
4/ 2003 yield and production estimates for oil and non-oil varieties will be published in the "Crop Production 2003 Summary"
in January 2004.

Kansas Crop Production Forecast, October 1, 2003, by Districts
Crop And District Acres Planted,
All Purposes 		Acres Harvested
for Grain 		Yield
per Acre 		Production
2002 2003 2002 2003 % Prev.
Year 		2002 2003 2002 2003 % Prev.
Year
------------ 1,000 Acres ------------ Bushels 1,000 Bushels
CORN
Northwest 500 420 263 340 129 111 126 29,145 42,700 147
West Central 238 230 119 190 160 90 128 10,680 24,300 228
Southwest 774 540 693 520 75 168 184 116,480 95,500 82
North Central 224 190 138 170 123 99 108 13,720 18,300 133
Central 133 120 94 110 117 118 127 11,110 13,950 126
South Central 358 370 313 350 112 150 147 46,960 51,300 109
Northeast 520 480 428 450 105 62 75 26,330 33,800 128
East Central 283 290 244 275 113 68 84 16,620 23,100 139
Southeast 220 260 208 245 118 91 94 18,955 23,000 121
    State 3,250 2,900 2,500 2,650 106 116 123 290,000 325,950 112
SOYBEANS
Northwest 65 70 54 68 126 40 41 2,160 2,770 128
West Central 24 35 20 33 165 25 26 500 855 171
Southwest 77 95 71 93 131 45 45 3,195 4,180 131
North Central 306 310 250 270 108 20 20 5,000 5,510 110
Central 202 170 166 167 101 23 20 3,800 3,325 88
South Central 229 215 218 210 96 39 37 8,522 7,790 91
Northeast 612 615 575 600 104 22 20 12,650 12,030 95
East Central 641 600 615 585 95 19 16 11,408 9,240 81
Southeast 594 490 571 474 83 20 20 11,185 9,300 83
    State 2,750 2,600 2,540 2,500 98 23 22 58,420 55,000 94


U.S. Crop Production

Corn grain production is forecast at 10.2 billion bushels, up 3 percent from last month and 13 percent above 2002. Based on conditions as of October 1, yields are expected to average 142.2 bushels per acre, up 3.7 bushels from September and up 12.2 bushels from last year. If realized, both production and yield would be the largest ever. Both records were set in 1994 when production was estimated at 10.1 billion bushels and the yield was 138.6 bushels per acre. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 71.8 million acres, down 50,000 acres from September but up 4 percent from 2002.

Sorghum grain production is forecast at 401 million bushels, down 2 percent from September but up 8 percent from 2002. Area harvested and to be harvested, at 7.85 million acres, is down 2 percent from last month but 8 percent above 2002. The U.S. yield is forecast at 51.0 bushels per acre, unchanged from last month but up 0.3 bushel from last year.

Soybean production is forecast at 2.47 billion bushels, down 7 percent from the September forecast and 10 percent below 2002. If realized, this would be the lowest production since 1996. The yield forecast, at 34.0 bushels per acre, is down 2.4 bushels from September and down 4.0 bushels from 2002. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 72.5 million acres, down 88,000 acres from September 1 but up fractionally from the 2002 acreage.


United States Crop Production, October 1, 2003
Crop &
Unit 		Planted 1/ Harvested Yield per Acre Production
2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003
1,000 Acres Per Unit (000's)
All Wheat, bu. 60,468 61,700 45,917 52,839 35 .3 44 .2 1,619,001 2,336,526
Winter Wheat, bu. 41,845 44,945 29,751 36,541 38 .5 46 .7 1,145,602 1,707,069
Oats, bu. 4,995 4,601 2,093 2,224 56 .7 65 .0 118,628 144,649
Barley, bu. 5,071 5,299 4,129 4,688 54 .9 58 .9 226,573 276,087
Rye, bu. 1,395 1,368 281 339 24 .8 27 .3 6,955 9,254
Corn Grain, bu. 79,054 79,066 69,313 71,765 130 .0 142 .2 9,007,659 10,207,141
Sorghum Grain, bu. 9,580 9,509 7,299 7,851 50 .7 51 .0 369,758 400,653
Soybeans, bu. 73,923 73,585 72,437 72,538 38 .0 34 .0 2,749,340 2,468,390
All Sunflowers, lbs. 2,580 2,364 2,180 2,274 1,142 1,152 2,489,606 2,619,497
    Oil, lbs. 2,125 2,010 1,815 1,940 1,140 3/ 2,069,780 3/
    Non-Oil, lbs. 455 354 365 334 1,150 3/ 419,826 3/
Dry Beans, cwt. 2/ 1,922 .1 1,501 .2 1,726 .9 1,417 .8 1,736 1,665 29,974 23,603
All Cotton, bales 2/ 13,957 .9 13,631 .0 12,426 .6 12,107 .4 665 696 17,208 .6 17,559 .0
All Hay, tons - - 64,497 64,379 2 .34 2 .50 150,962 160,706
    Alfalfa Hay, tons - - 23,135 23,541 3 .19 3 .34 73,824 78,523
    Other Hay, tons - - 41,362 40,838 1 .86 2 .01 77,138 82,183
Pecans, lbs. - - - - - - 172,900 281,900
Apples, lbs. - - - - - - 8,555 .6 9,351 .6
1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ 2003 yield and production estimates for oil and non-oil varieties will be published in the "Crop Production 2003 Summary" in January 2004.


Kansas Grain Stocks

Kansas wheat stocks in all positions on September 1 totaled 369.5 million bushels, 38 percent more than last year's total. Wheat stored in off-farm locations (mills, elevators, warehouses, and processors) totaled 326.5 million bushels, an increase of 41 percent from a year ago. Wheat stored off the farm accounted for 88 percent of all wheat stocks. Wheat in farm storage totaled 43.0 million bushels, up 19 percent from last September.


Sorghum grain in all positions totaled 23.2 million bushels, down from 31.2 million bushels last year. Off-farm holdings of 20.5 million bushels were down from 27.6 million bushels last year. Sorghum grain stored off the farm accounted for 88 percent of the total sorghum stocks. On-farm stocks of 2.7 million bushels were down 900,000 bushels from a year ago.

Corn stocks in all locations, at 40.5 million bushels, were down 23 percent from a year ago. Off-farm corn stocks of 24.5 million bushels were down 67 percent from 36.8 million bushels last year and accounted for 60 percent of total corn stocks. On-farm stocks of 16.0 million bushels were 3 percent above last September.

Kansas soybeans stored in all positions totaled 3.6 million bushels, down 1.5 million bushels from last year. Off-farm locations held 2.4 million bushels, down 1.6 million bushels from last year, and accounted for 67 percent of total soybean stocks. On-farm stocks of 1.2 million bushels are 100,000 bushels above last year.

Oats stored at off-farm locations totaled 1.2 million bushels, up 62 percent from September 2002.

Barley stored at off-farm locations totaled 69,000 bushels, compared with 62,000 a year earlier.


Stocks of Grain , September 1, 2003, with Comparisons
Grain Position Kansas United States
Sept. 1,
2002 		June 1,
2003 		Sept. 1,
2003 		Sept. 1,
2002 		June 1,
2003 		Sept. 1,
2003
1,000 Bushels
All Wheat On Farms 36,000 4,500 43,000 580,200 132,110 689,970
Off Farms 1/ 231,995 49,097 326,510 1,170,787 359,306 1,345,635
    TOTAL 267,995 53,597 369,510 1,750,987 491,416 2,035,605
Sorghum Grain On Farms 3,600 6,000 2,700 7,400 11,150 4,500
Off Farms 1/ 27,570 34,137 20,526 53,573 70,744 38,049
    TOTAL 31,170 40,137 23,226 60,973 81,894 42,549
Corn On Farms 15,500 26,000 16,000 586,800 1,620,200 484,900
Off Farms 1/ 36,784 50,781 24,472 1,009,626 1,364,485 600,869
    TOTAL 52,284 76,781 40,472 1,596,426 2,984,685 1,085,769
Oats On Farms 2/ 2/ 2/ 70,500 20,600 82,100
Off Farms 1/ 771 349 1,248 41,212 29,233 49,421
    TOTAL 2/ 2/ 2/ 111,712 49,833 131,521
Barley On Farms 2/ 2/ 2/ 131,600 14,860 139,900
Off Farms 1/ 62 13 69 92,419 54,480 99,125
    TOTAL 2/ 2/ 2/ 224,019 69,340 239,025
Soybeans On Farms 1,100 3,500 1,200 62,700 272,500 58,000
Off Farms 1/ 4,024 9,750 2,428 145,320 329,862 111,431
    TOTAL 5,124 13,250 3,628 208,020 602,362 169,431
1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, terminals, & processors. 2/ No estimate available.

Dave Ranek & Steve Maliszewski, Agricultural Statisticians
Eldon J. Thiessen, State Statistician
Eddie Wells, Deputy State Statistician

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