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CROPS

KANSAS AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE
Kansas Department of Agriculture
PO Box 3534
Topeka, KS 66601-3534
Phone: 785-233-2230

Released: July 12, 2004
Volume 04, No. 7

Text Box

INCLUDED
IN THIS
ISSUE

WHEAT
PRODUCTION

CROP
ACREAGE

GRAIN

STOCKS


Kansas Wheat Production Down from June Forecast

Wheat production in Kansas for 2004 is forecast at 313.2 million bushels. The current forecast is down 11 percent from June 1 and 35 percent below last year's production. Harvested acres are expected to total 8.7 million, down 300,000 acres from June 1 and down 1.3 million acres from last year. Yield is expected to average 36 bushels per acre, down 3 bushels from the June 1 forecast and 12 bushels below last year's yield of 48 bushels. As of July 4, wheat harvest was 83 percent complete, 1 point ahead of last year's progress of 82 percent complete and 2 points ahead of the 5- year average.

Oat production is forecast at 2.88 million bushels, down 37 percent from last year. Yield is expected to average 48 bushels per acre, down 17 bushels from last year's yield of 65 bushels.

Kansas Wheat Production, By District, July 1, 2004 1/
District Acres Planted Acres Harvested Yield Per Acre Production
2003 2004 2003 2004 % of
Prev. Yr 		2003 2004 2003 2004 % of
Prev. Yr
WINTER WHEAT - - - - - - - - 1,000 Acres - - - - - - - - Percent Bushels 1,000 Bushels Percent
Northwest 1,200 1,110 1,160 525 45 40 15 46,010 7,800 17
West Central 1,300 1,170 1,245 925 74 42 21 51,690 19,100 37
Southwest 1,780 1,600 1,665 1,475 89 38 31 64,025 45,900 72
North Central 1,325 1,160 1,290 1,115 86 59 41 75,920 46,100 61
Central 1,500 1,530 1,465 1,490 102 57 45 82,780 66,600 80
South Central 2,245 2,220 2,160 2,110 98 49 39 105,815 82,200 78
Northeast 215 210 210 205 98 64 54 13,455 11,000 82
East Central 260 290 255 280 110 56 42 14,345 11,700 82
Southeast 575 610 550 575 105 47 40 25,960 22,800 88
    State 10,400 9,900 10,000 8,700 87 48 36 480,000 313,200 65
1/ Funding for district level wheat data supplied by the Kansas Wheat Commission.

United States Winter Wheat Crop

Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.47 billion bushels. This is down 4 percent from June 1 and 14 percent below 2003. Acres for harvest as grain are forecast at 34.8 million. down 5 percent from 2003. The U.S. yield is forecast at 42.2 bushels per acre, down 1.4 bushels per acre from June 1.

Hard Red Winter Wheat, at 838 million bu shels, is down 5 percent from a month ago. White Winter production is up 1 percent this month and now totals 248 million bushels. Soft Red Winter, at 383 million bushels, is down 3 percent from the last forecast.

Crop Production, July 1, 2003-2004
Crop Planted Harvested Yield Per Acre Production
2004 2003 2004 2003 2004 2003 2004
- - - - 1,000 Acres - - - - Bushels 1,000 Bushels
KANSAS
Winter Wheat 9,900 10,000 8,700 48 36 480,000 313,200
Oats 120 70 60 65 48 4,550 2,880
UNITED STATES
All Wheat 59,869 52,839 50,706 44 .2 40 .6 2,336,526 2,059,071
Winter Wheat 43,450 36,541 34,825 46 .7 42 .2 1,707,069 1,469,735
Oats 4,220 2,224 1,938 65 .0 62 .9 144,649 121,860

Kansas Crop Acreage

Kansas growers planted 18.95 million acres to the four major crops (wheat, sorghum, corn, and soybeans), down 3 percent from 2003. Wheat seeded last fall totaled 9.9 million acres, unchanged from the previous forecast but down 5 percent (500,000 acres) from last year. Acreage for harvest is expected to be 8.7 million acres, down 3 percent from the previous forecast and 13 percent (1.3 million acres) below a year ago.

Sorghum acreage planted and to be planted, at 3.1 million acres, is down 13 percent from last year. Kansas ranks first in the Nation in sorghum acreage. The acreage intended for harvest as grain, at 2.8 million acres, is down 3 percent from last year.

Corn planted acreage, at 3.25 million acres, is 12 percent above last year's planted acres. Farmers planted 54 percent of their corn acreage with varieties developed using biotechnology. Twenty-five percent of the acreage was planted with insect resistant only varieties containing bacillus thuringiensis (Bt) and 24 percent of the acreage with herbicide resistant varieties developed using biotechnology. Stacked gene varieties, those containing both insect and herbicide resistance, were planted on 5 percent of the corn acreage. Acreage expected to be harvested for grain is 2.9 million acres, up 16 percent from last year.

Soybean plantings are expected to total 2.7 million acres, up 100,000 acres from a year ago. Producers planted 87 percent of the soybean acreage to herbicide resistant varieties in 2004. Expected acreage for harvest, at 2.55 million acres, is 3 percent above last year.

Oats planted in 2004, at 120,000 acres, is 14 percent below last year. Oats expected to be harvested for grain, at 60,000 acres, is down 10,000 acres from the previous year. Barley planted acreage, at 10,000 acres, increased 1,000 acres from last year. Expected acreage for harvest, at 8,000 acres, is unchanged from last year. All sunflowers planted, at 170,000 acres, are down 12 percent from last year. Oil type varieties planted are at 150,000 acres, while non-oil varieties are planted on 20,000 acres. All sunflowers harvested are expected to total 158,000 acres with oil type varieties projected at 140,000 harvested acres. Hay acreage to be harvested is expected to total 3.1 million acres, down 5 percent from last year. Of the total hay acreage, 900,000 acres are alfalfa hay, down 100,000 acres from last year. Acreage of dry beans planted, at 6,000 acres, is down 6,000 acres from last year. Harvested acreage is forecast at 5,500 acres. Cotton acreage is estimated at 120,000 acres in 2004, up 30,000 acres from last year.

Corn and Soybeans, Kansas, by Districts, 2003-2004
District Corn Planted Soybeans Planted
2003 2004 % of
Prev. Yr 		2003 2004 % of
Prev. Yr
1,000 Acres % 1,000 Acres %
Northwest 435 515 118 56 85 152
West Central 183 215 117 18 24 133
Southwest 670 700 104 73 92 126
North Central 161 210 130 243 237 98
Central 109 135 124 173 229 132
South Central 350 350 100 225 249 111
Northeast 472 515 109 607 567 93
East Central 271 295 109 615 617 100
Southeast 249 315 127 590 600 102
    State 2,900 3,250 112 2,600 2,700 104


United States Crop Acreage

Sorghum planted for all purposes is estimated at 8.10 million acres, down 14 percent from 2003. Sorghum harvested for grain is estimated at 6.92 million acres, down 11 percent from last year. Corn planted for all purposes is estimated at 81.0 million acres, up 3 percent from both 2002 and 2003. Growers expect to harvest 73.4 million acres for grain, up 3 percent from 2003. Soybean growers planted or intend to plant 74.8 million acres, up 2 percent from last year. If realized, this will be the largest planted area on record and a rebound from the three year decline in acreage. Area to be harvested is estimated at 73.7 million acres, is also up 3 percent from 2003. Hay growers expect to harvest 61.6 million acres of all hay in 2004, 3 percent below 2003. Har-vested area of alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures cut for hay is estimated at 22.2 million acres, down 6 percent from last year. All other hay acreage is estimated at 39.4 million acres, down 1 percent from last year. Sunflower planted area is estimated at 1.88 million acres, down 20 percent from last year, continuing a decreasing trend that began in 1998. Harvested area is estimated at 1.80 million acres, down 18 percent from 2003. Oil type varieties comprised 1.55 million acres this year, 22 percent below 2003. Non-oil type varieties were planted on 331,000 acres, down 4 percent from a year ago. Dry bean planted acreage is estimated at 1.42 million acres this year, up 1 percent from last year but 26 percent below two years ago.

Crop Acreage, 2003- 2004
Crop Kansas United States
Planted Harvested Planted Harvested
2003 2004 2003 2004 2003 2004 2003 2004
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1,000 Acres - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Corn 1/ 2,900 3,250 2,500 2,900 78,736 80,968 71,139 73,362
Sorghum 1/ 3,550 3,100 2,900 2,800 9,420 8,099 7,798 6,916
Soybeans 2,600 2,700 2,480 2,550 73,404 74,809 72,321 73,655
Oats 1/ 140 120 70 60 4,601 4,220 2,224 1,938
Barley 1/ 9 10 8 8 5,299 4,666 4,688 4,152
Dry Edible Beans 12 .0 6 .0 11 .0 5 .5 1,406 .1 1,424 .2 1,346 .9 1,325 .2
Sunflowers 193 170 176 158 2,344 1,882 2,197 1,801
All Hay - - 3,250 3,100 - - 63,342 61,589
    Alfalfa - - 1,000 900 - - 23,578 22,226
    Other Hay - - 2,250 2,200 - - 39,764 39,363
Cotton, All 90 .0 120 .0 80 .0 2/ 13,479 .6 13,947 .0 12,003 .4 2/
1/ Harvested area is for grain. 2/ No estimate currently available.

Kansas Grain Stocks

Kansas wheat stocks in all positions totaled 76.7 million bushels on June 1 2004, 43 percent above last June. Wheat stored at off-farm locations (mills, elevators, warehouses, and processors) totaled 70.7 million bushels, which accounts for 92 percent of the total grain stocks.

Sorghum grain in all positions totaled 37.3 million bushels, 7 percent below last year's level. Off-farm stocks accounted for 33.4 million bushels and on-farm stocks for 3.9 million bushels.

Kansas corn stocks in all locations, at 76.4 million bushels, are 2 percent lower than last June. Off-farm stocks are 50.4 million bushels, which account for 66 percent of the total corn stocks. On-farm stocks, at 26.0 million bushels, are down 1.0 million bushels from last June.

Kansas soybeans in all locations totaled 12.6 million bushels, a 5 percent decrease from June 2003. Off-farm stocks, at 10.7 million bushels, are also up 9 percent from last year and accounted for 85 percent of the total soybean stocks. On-farm stocks totaled 1.9 million bushels, down 1.6 million bushels from the previous year.

Off-farm oat stocks are 519,000 bushels, up 49 percent from last June.

Off-farm barley stocks, at 26,000 bushels, are double the 13,000 bushels from a year ago.

United States Grain Stocks

All wheat stored in all positions on June 1, 2004 totaled 546 million bushels, up 11 percent from a year ago. On-farm stocks are estimated at 132 million bushels, down slightly from last year. Off-farm stocks, at 414 million bushels, are up 15 percent

from a year ago. The March-May 2004 indicated disappearance is 475 million bushels, up 14 percent from the same period a year earlier.

Sorghum grain in all positions totaled 80.2 million bushels, 2 percent below last year's level. On-farm stocks, at 7.65 million bushels, are down 31 percent from June 1 last year. Off-farm stocks, at 72.5 million bushels, are up 3 percent from a year earlier. The March-May 2004 indicated disappearance from all positions is 78.5 million bushels, down from 81.0 million bushels during the same period a year ago.

Corn stocks in all positions totaled 2.97 billion bushels, down slightly from June 1, 2003. Of the total stocks, 1.54 billion bushels are stored on-farms, down 5 percent from a year earlier. Off-farm stocks, at 1.43 billion bushels, are up 5 percent from the previous year. The March-May 2004 indicated disappearance is 2.30 billion bushels, compared with 2.15 billion bushels during the same period last year.

Soybeans in all positions total 410 million bushels, down 32 percent from June 2003. This is lowest June 1 stocks level since 1977. On-farm stocks totaled 110 million bushels, down 60 percent from a year ago. Off-farm stocks, at 300 million bushels, are down 9 percent from the previous year. The March-May 2004 indicated disappearance is 496 million bushels, down 17 percent from the same period a year earlier.

Oat stocks in all positions totaled 64.7 million bushels, 30 percent above June 1, 2003. Of the total stocks on hand, 27.5 million bushels are stored on farms, 33 percent more than a year ago. Off-farm stocks totaled 37.2 million bushels, up 27 percent from a year earlier. Indicated dis-appearance during March-May 2004 totaled 30.3 million bushels, down 8 percent from the same period a year ago.

Barley stocks in all positions totaled 120 million bushels, up 74 percent from a year ago. On-farm stocks are estimated at 28.3 million bushels, 91 percent above a year ago. Off-farm stocks, at 92.0 million bushels, are 69 percent above June 2003. The March-May 2004 indicated disappearance is 32.6 million bushels, 40 percent below the same period a year earlier.


Stocks of Grain - June 1, 2004, with Comparisons
Grain Position Kansas United States
June 1,
2003 		March 1,
2004 		June 1,
2004 		June 1,
2003 		March 1,
2004 		June 1,
2004
1,000 Bushels
All Wheat On-Farms 4,500 13,000 6,000 132,110 257,890 131,880
Off-Farms 1/ 49,097 154,613 70,660 359,306 762,727 414,123
    TOTAL 53,597 167,613 76,660 491,416 1,020,617 546,003
Sorghum Grain On-Farms 6,000 12,000 3,900 11,150 21,000 7,650
Off-Farms 1/ 34,137 63,804 33,415 70,744 137,652 72,516
    TOTAL 40,137 75,804 37,315 81,894 158,652 80,166
Corn On-Farms 27,000 46,000 26,000 1,620,200 3,030,000 1,540,000
Off-Farms 1/ 50,781 86,891 50,415 1,364,718 2,241,459 1,429,685
    TOTAL 77,781 132,891 76,415 2,984,918 5,271,459 2,969,685
Oats On-Farms * * * 20,600 45,600 27,500
Off-Farms 1/ 349 710 519 29,233 49,414 37,232
    TOTAL * * * 49,833 95,014 64,732
Barley On-Farms * * * 14,860 51,700 28,320
Off-Farms 1/ 13 30 26 54,480 101,186 91,991
    TOTAL * * * 69,340 152,886 120,311
Soybeans On-Farms 3,500 5,700 1,900 272,500 355,900 110,000
Off-Farms 1/ 9,750 23,483 10,652 329,862 549,947 299,560
    TOTAL 13,250 29,183 12,552 602,362 905,847 409,560
1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, terminals, & processors. * Data not published to avoid disclosure of individual operations.


Dave Ranek & Quentin Wearne, Agricultural Statisticians
Eldon J. Thiessen, Director
Eddie Wells, Deputy Director

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