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CROPS

KANSAS AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE
Kansas Department of Agriculture
PO Box 3534
Topeka, KS 66601-3534
Phone: 785-233-2230

Released: May 12, 2004
Volume 04, No. 5


Text Box

INCLUDED
IN THIS
ISSUE



WHEAT
PRODUCTION

HAY
STOCKS


EXPECTED KANSAS WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION
DECREASES 23 PERCENT


The 2004 Kansas wheat crop is forecast at 369.0 million bushels as of May 1, 2004. The current forecast is down 23 percent from the 2003 crop. This year's crop is expected to be harvested from 9.0 million acres, down 1.0 million acres from a year ago. Yield per harvested acre is expected to average 41 bushels, down from 48 bushels last year.

Seeding of wheat acres began the second week of September and progressed ahead of normal until mid-October when it progressed near normal through completion. Soil moisture conditions remained dry throughout the fall and as of November 30, 65 percent of the topsoil moisture and 69 percent of the subsoil was rated short-to-very short. Emergence also progressed ahead of normal until mid- October when it progressed near normal through November.

Due to dry conditions, emergence was behind average in the northwest at the end of November. Wheat conditions declined during the winter due to dry conditions. On March 1, 32 percent of the crop was rated in poor-to-very poor condition and 40 percent of the topsoil moisture was short-to-very short. Scattered showers mostly in April helped improve moisture conditions slightly. By the end of April, 30 percent of the crop was judged to be in poor-to-very poor condition and top soil moisture was rated 24 percent very short or short. Subsoil moisture remained short-to-very short in most of the Western, and North Central parts of the State despite the rains. Crop progress has been ahead of normal this spring with 84 percent jointed on April 25th..

KANSAS WHEAT PRODUCTION, MAY 1, 2004
District Acres Planted Acres Harvested Yield Per Acre Production
2003 2004 2003 2004 % of
Prev. Yr
2003 2004 2003 2004 % of
Prev. Yr
WINTER WHEAT - - - - - - - - 1,000 Acres - - - - - - - - Percent Bushels 1,000 Bushels Percent
Northwest 1,200 1,110 1,160 720 62 40 30 46,010 21,700 47
West Central 1,300 1,170 1,245 1,020 82 42 32 51,690 32,200 62
Southwest 1,780 1,600 1,665 1,455 87 38 39 64,025 57,300 89
North Central 1,325 1,160 1,290 1,140 88 59 43 75,920 49,400 65
Central 1,500 1,530 1,465 1,470 100 57 44 82,780 64,800 78
South Central 2,245 2,220 2,160 2,120 98 49 44 105,815 93,400 88
Northeast 215 210 210 205 98 64 49 13,455 10,100 75
East Central 260 290 255 285 112 56 45 14,345 12,800 89
Southeast 575 610 550 585 106 47 47 25,960 27,300 105
    State 10,400 9,900 10,000 9,000 90 48 41 480,000 369,000 77

U.S. WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION DOWN 9 PERCENT

Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.55 billion bushels, down 9 percent from 2003. Based on May 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 44.2 bushels per acre, 2.5 bushels less than last year. Grain area totals 35.1 million acres, down 4 percent from last season.



WINTER WHEAT, KANSAS AND SELECTED STATES 1/, MAY 1, 2004
State Acreage Yield Per Acre Production
Harvested
2003
For Harvest
2004
% of
Prev. Yr.
2003 2004 2003 2004 % of
Prev. Yr.
1,000 Acres Percent Bushels 1,000 Bushels Percent
KANSAS 10,000 9,000 90 48.0 41.0 480,000 369,000 77
Oklahoma 4,600 4,300 93 39.0 36.0 179,400 154,800 86
Texas 3,450 3,600 104 28.0 33.0 96,600 118,800 123
Washington 1,800 1,700 94 65.0 63.0 117,000 107,100 92
Nebraska 1,820 1,850 102 46.0 39.0 83,720 72,150 86
Illinois 810 970 120 65.0 62.0 52,650 60,140 114
Ohio 1,000 880 88 68.0 68.0 68,000 59,840 88
Idaho 720 680 94 80.0 81.0 57,600 55,080 96
South Dakota 1,380 1,440 104 43.0 38.0 59,340 54,720 92
Colorado 2,200 1,800 82 35.0 30.0 77,000 54,000 70
United States 36,541 35,082 96 46.7 44.2 1,707,069 1,550,395 91
1/ Selected states based on top 10 states according to production of winter wheat.

HAY STOCKS

Hay production during 2003 totaled 7.0 million tons, up 1 percent from the year before. As of May 1, Kansas hay stocks totaled 1,400,000 tons, compared with 5,600,000 tons on December 1, 2003 and 1,150,000 tons on May 1, 2003.

Dave Ranek & Quentin Wearne, Agricultural Statistician
Eldon J. Thiessen, Director
Eddie Wells, Deputy Director

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