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Weekly Ag Update Issue 55-10 February 28, 2005 |
Included in this Issue |
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| Station |
Mean
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Maximum | Minimum |
02/21 02/27 |
02/01 02/27 |
Feb |
01/01 02/27 |
Normal Jan-Feb |
| Farmington | 40.9 | 54 | 23 | 0.18 | 2.28 | 0.57 | 3.37 | 1 .16 |
| Gallup | 36.0 | 51 | 21 | 0.33 | 2.34 | 0.74 | 3.76 | 1 .54 |
| Capulin | 33.1 | 54 | 14 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.56 | 1.60 | 0 .96 |
| Chama | 28.8 | 46 | 8 | 0.37 | 2.64 | 1.58 | 7.13 | 3 .35 |
| Johnson Ranch | 37.6 | 53 | 21 | 0.06 | 1.58 | 0.57 | 2.17 | 1 .24 |
| Las Vegas | 35.2 | 57 | 16 | 0.07 | 0.43 | 0.48 | 2.28 | 1 .08 |
| Los Alamos | 32.2 | 46 | 19 | 0.46 | 2.09 | 0.80 | 4.72 | 1 .66 |
| Raton | 34.9 | 56 | 14 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.54 | 2.91 | 1 .01 |
| Red River | 24.9 | 41 | 6 | 0.54 | 2.11 | 1.22 | 4.85 | 2 .29 |
| Santa Fe | 36.9 | 54 | 24 | 0.18 | 1.82 | 0.69 | 3.75 | 1 .32 |
| Clayton | 38.7 | 61 | 24 | 0.01 | 0.48 | 0.31 | 1.86 | 0 .55 |
| Clovis | 45.5 | 69 | 30 | 0 | 0.82 | 0.51 | 3.16 | 0 .90 |
| Roy | 37.6 | 58 | 23 | 0 | 0.60 | 0.43 | 2.76 | 0 .77 |
| Tucumcari | 44.8 | 69 | 26 | 0.02 | 1.10 | 0.45 | 2.74 | 0 .73 |
| Grants | 36.4 | 55 | 22 | 0.16 | 1.19 | 0.51 | 2.25 | 1 .00 |
| Quemado | 35.8 | 55 | 18 | 0.27 | 1.18 | 0.72 | 2.41 | 1 .55 |
| Silver City | 40.5 | 58 | 26 | 0.70 | 4.36 | 1.25 | 7.66 | 2 .41 |
| Albuquerque | 43.1 | 57 | 32 | 0.09 | 1.78 | 0.46 | 3.16 | 0 .90 |
| Carrizozo | 47.5 | 61 | 34 | 0.15 | 1.92 | 0.57 | 3.85 | 1 .17 |
| Socorro | 42.6 | 61 | 29 | 0.36 | 1.18 | 0.39 | 2.49 | 0 .78 |
| Gran Quivera | 39.2 | 56 | 26 | 0.73 | 2.11 | 0.82 | 3.38 | 1 .52 |
| Moriarty | 36.9 | 56 | 20 | 0.35 | 1.36 | 0.48 | 3.00 | 0 .91 |
| Ruidoso | 38.5 | 54 | 23 | 0.26 | 3.07 | 1.16 | 4.82 | 2 .28 |
| Carlsbad | 48.6 | 74 | 31 | 0.42 | 1.28 | 0.35 | 1.73 | 0 .70 |
| Roswell | 45.1 | 70 | 31 | 0.25 | 1.22 | 0.46 | 1.93 | 0 .89 |
| Tatum | 45.5 | 71 | 32 | 0.21 | 1.02 | 0.50 | 2.10 | 0 .89 |
| Alamogordo | 47.6 | 64 | 32 | 0.68 | 3.03 | 0.54 | 4.33 | 1 .21 |
| Animas | 49.1 | 66 | 36 | 0.23 | 1.54 | 0.51 | 4.08 | 1 .19 |
| Deming | 47.3 | 68 | 32 | 0.25 | 1.64 | 0.46 | 2.91 | 1 .02 |
| Las Cruces | 48.1 | 69 | 36 | 1.08 | 2.55 | 0.37 | 3.45 | 0 .83 |
| T or C | 45.7 | 65 | 33 | 0.32 | 1.39 | 0.38 | 2.41 | 0 .84 |
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(T) Trace (-) No Report (*) Correction All reports based on preliminary data. Precipitation data corrected monthly from official observation forms. |
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Farm Households' Well-Being Includes Income and Wealth: Changes in income and wealth levels will likely have the
greatest effect on lower income-lower wealth and higher income-higher wealth farm households. Higher income-higher wealth
households account for a large proportion of farm output, with more than half of farm output on these farms coming from
livestock enterprises. The lower income-lower wealth households may experience the most difficulty from a decline in income
since this group already has the largest share of households having to adjust to the shortfall between their income and
consumption needs.
Farm household economic well-being is affected both by the level of income and the amount of wealth available to the
household and by how income and wealth influence household consumption. The well-being of households has both an
absolute component, which compares income and wealth to a selected standard, and a relative component, which measures
the ability of households to meet consumption expenditures.
Movements in commodity prices, production shortfalls due to weather, and lack of off-farm jobs all affect well-being. Changes
in economic conditions such as interest rates can have competing effects on farm and off-farm incomes. All of these factors
contribute to income variations in a given year. Access to financial or other "liquid" assets (including savings and inventories)
can help forestall a tightening in household consumption. Likewise, income that exceeds consumption can be added to savings
or used to pay down debt.
Well-Being Still Surpasses Average U.S. Household: On average, farm households have higher incomes, greater wealth,
and lower consumption expenditures than do other US households, according to the 2002 ARMS survey. On average, farm
household incomes are better able to support their consumption needs. Since average comparisons can be misleading, farms
were divided into four groups using levels of income and wealth (above or below the median level reported in the 2002 ARMS
survey) relative to the average U.S. household.
Higher Income, Higher Wealth: Half of farm households had both higher incomes and greater wealth than the average U.S.
household. The vast majority of these farms (96 percent) reported household income greater than consumption expenditures
in 2002_on average, an excess of $74,548 in income over consumption expenditures. This group of farms reported average
net worth of $641,669, of which $165,276 was household assets not owned by the farming operation.
This group of higher income-higher wealth households includes a disproportionate share of larger farm operations and farm
operators who reported a primary occupation other than farming. On average, this group of households operated the largest
farms as measured by acreage at 428 acres, accounted for 59 percent of farm output, drew 60 percent of government
payments, and had, by far, the highest educational attainment.
Higher Income, Lower Wealth: Almost 4.0 percent of farm households had higher incomes and lower wealth than the
average U.S. household in 2002. They are almost entirely focused on off-farm activities, with 84 percent reporting a primary
occupation other than farming. These operators are younger than average, with more having attended or completed college,
and their household incomes are almost entirely from off-farm sources and exceed consumption expenditures by a wide
margin. Their farms are smaller (190 acres on average) and account for only 4.0 percent of U.S. farm output.
Lower Income, Higher Wealth: Of the nearly 40 percent of farm households reporting lower income but greater wealth than
the average U.S. household, 46 percent reported annual household incomes below their expenditures in 2002. This group
contains a disproportionate share of midsize farms and farmers who report that they are retired. For many of these operators,
farm-derived income is often negative (an average loss of nearly $13,000 in 2002).
The lower income-higher wealth farms hold a vast majority of their net worth ($547,613 on average) in business assets (such as land, machinery, and crop/livestock inventories). The retired or more elderly farmers in the group who do not have sufficient current earnings from farming to meet consumption expenditures can access their accumulated assets or begin to consume capital assets (e.g., choose not to replace machinery or equipment as it wears out). Generating a sustained flow of income from the household's asset base to support household consumption requires either disposing of the farm or renting/leasing to other farmers or to the government through land retirement programs (such as the Conservation Reserve Program).
Many lower income-higher wealth households report receiving government payments, averaging $4,174 in 2002. This group
also contains farm businesses where income is temporarily lower because of low commodity prices or production shortfalls.
For many of these operations, adequate consumption levels can be maintained by drawing on savings or other assets.
Lower Income, Lower Wealth: About 6 percent of farm households have both lower incomes and lower wealth than the
average U.S. household. The number of households in this category increased by nearly 2 percent over 2001. This group,
principally residential/lifestyle and limited-resource farms, has thin margins between household incomes and consumption
expenditures. Of these households, 21 percent report farming as their primary occupation, and only 38 percent are
limited-resource households. Moreover, their small asset base may be insufficient to meet any unexpected shortfall in
household earnings. Nearly 37 percent of these households reported income less than their consumption expenditures in 2002
(versus nearly 45 percent in 2001). For these households, there is insufficient income to support even relatively low levels of
current consumption and few assets to meet or enhance consumption.
Farm household income
2003 farm income estimates
Farm sector income forecast
Farm business income
Assets, debt, and wealth
Farm household well-being
Commodity costs and returns
Which farms receive government payments?
These and other articles may be accessed at:
www.ers.usda.gov/briefing
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