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Weekly Ag Update

Issue 55-43

October 17, 2005

Included in this Issue

Crop Weather
Crop Production
Pecan Production



CROP SUMMARY FOR THE WEEK ENDING OCTOBER 16, 2005

NEW MEXICO: There were 5.8 days suitable for field work. Topsoil moisture was 1% very short, 30% short, 65% adequate and 4% surplus. Wind damage was 1% light, 15% moderate and 1% severe. Farmers began harvesting red chile, lettuce and sorghum for grain. Alfalfa was in mostly fair to excellent condition, with 70% of the 6th cutting complete, and 41% of the 7th cutting complete. Cotton was in mostly fair to excellent condition, with 92% of bolls opening and 12% harvested. Corn was in mostly fair to good condition with 100% mature and 70% harvested for grain. Sorghum was in mostly fair to good condition, with 94% coloring, 24% mature, and 8% harvested for grain. Wheat was in mostly fair to good condition. Peanuts were in fair to good condition with 26% harvested. Lettuce was fair to excellent and 15% harvested. Chile was in mostly fair to excellent condition. Green chile was 94% harvested and red chile was 22% harvested. Fall onions were 78% planted and in fair to good condition. Apples were 100% harvested. Pecans were in fair to excellent condition. Ranchers were weaning calves and moving cattle to winter pastures. Cattle were 8% poor, 15% fair, 65% good, and 12% excellent. Sheep were listed as 4% very poor, 7% poor, 15% fair, 52% good, and 22% excellent. Range and pasture conditions were reported as 3% very poor, 15% poor, 33% fair, 42% good, and 7% excellent.

CROP PROGRESS PERCENTAGES WITH COMPARISONS

CROP PROGRESS

 

This Week

Last Week

Last Year

5-Year Average

    APPLES

Harvested

100

88

95

92

    CHILE

Harvested-Green

94

89

100

99

    CHILE

Harvested-Red

22

 5

 27

33

    CORN

Mature

100

97

99

100

    CORN

Harvested-Grain

70

42

43

 70

    COTTON

Opening Bolls

92

82

78

93

    COTTON

Harvested

12

8

1

16

    LETTUCE

Harvested

15

N/A

13

12

    PEANUTS

Harvested

26

24

14

33

    SORGHUM

Coloring

94

85

70

93

    SORGHUM

Mature

24

20

18

54

    SORGHUM

Harvested

 8

 4

 2

13


CROP AND LIVESTOCK CONDITION PERCENTAGES

 

Very Poor Poor

Poor

Fair

Good

Excellent

Alfalfa

--

4

39

41

16

Chile

--

10

29

51

10

Corn

--

--

17

77

6

Cotton

--

2

41

40

17

Lettuce

--

--

20

20

60

Peanuts

--

--

20

80

--

Pecan

--

--

32

31

37

Sorghum (All)

--

14

40

43

3

Wheat (All)

--

12

44

41

3

Cattle

--

8

15

65

12

Sheep

4

7

15

52

22

Range/Pasture

3

15

33

42

7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SOIL MOISTURE PERCENTAGES

 

Very

Short

Short

Adequate

Surplus

Northwest 

7

17

70

6

Northeast 

1

44

55

--

Southwest

--

50

50

--

Southeast

--

12

80

8

State Current

1

30

65

4

State-Last Week

20

21

59

--

State-Last Year

6

21

67

6

State-5-Yr Avg.

32

33

33

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                                                                                                                                                                                                      

 

 

 

 

 

 


WEATHER SUMMARY

 

New Mexico was impacted by two storm systems during the week. One storm exited the state early in the week, and a second system surged northward from Mexico, bringing rain to much of the state Friday night and Saturday. Animas (1.22") and Santa Fe (1.04") both picked up over an inch of moisture. Temperatures for the week were generally a couple of degrees below normal. Precipitation totals for the year have been adjusted based on final reports from September.

                                                                             

NEW MEXICO WEATHER CONDITIONS - OCTOBER 10 - 16, 2005

 

Temperature

Precipitation

Station

Mean

Maximum

Minimum

10/10

10/16

10/10

10/16

Normal

Oct

01/01

   10/16

Normal

Jan-Oct

Farmington

53.4

74

35

0.20

0.63

0.85

8.25

7.18

Gallup

49.6

71

33

0.12

0.40

1.29

10.87

10.96

Capulin

45.6

72

24

0.21

0.50

0.97

17.20

16.27

Chama

45.8

69

28

0.68

2.25

1.96

24.66

18.09

Johnson Ranch

46.6

70

26

0.05

0.46

1.11

10.10

10.16

Las Vegas

46.6

68

31

0.56

0.71

1.51

19.18

17.78

Los Alamos

46.0

65

33

0.50

0.70

1.32

20.81

16.62

Raton

48.6

73

29

0.19

1.15

0.97

19.76

15.61

Red River

40.1

66

24

0.30

1.97

1.46

24.22

18.15

Santa Fe

47.9

69

30

1.04

1.61

1.04

14.35

12.58

Clayton

55.1

77

36

0.40

0.40

0.90

17.53

14.28

Clovis

56.1

76

35

0.83

1.89

1.34

17.76

16.24

Roy

50.1

69

31

0.20

0.40

1.05

18.43

14.79

Tucumcari

56.6

78

38

0.36

0.56

0.94

20.59

13.39

Grants

47.4

69

26

0.18

0.30

1.05

8.51

9.56

Quemado

47.6

68

27

0.08

0.57

1.18

11.70

12.59

Albuquerque

55.7

70

43

0.48

0.77

0.89

11.06

7.95

Carrizozo

53.1

70

32

0.80

1.51

1.19

14.72

11.31

Socorro

55.1

71

39

0.28

0.92

1.11

7.58

8.48

Gran Quivera

52.5

73

35

0.66

1.18

1.27

18.45

14.01

Moriarty

47.0

67

30

0.78

0.91

1.10

11.71

11.77

Ruidoso

47.2

65

28

0.36

2.59

1.31

21.97

18.84

Carlsbad

61.6

78

41

0.34

1.09

1.05

8.61

11.79

Roswell

55.6

76

38

0.44

1.68

1.19

11.45

11.83

Tatum

56.4

77

37

0.41

1.66

1.49

12.01

15.02

Alamogordo

59.9

75

45

0.81

2.09

1.30

12.25

11.21

Animas

59.7

76

41

1.22

1.90

1.15

10.70

9.91

Deming

59.4

78

38

0.87

0.97

0.98

8.06

9.09

Las Cruces

59.6

78

43

0.47

1.57

0.91

10.86

8.19

T or C

58.4

73

43

0.38

1.34

0.95

9.09

8.62

(T) Trace (-) No Report (*) Correction

All reports based on preliminary data. Precipitation data corrected monthly from official observation forms.

 

 

OCTOBER CROP PRODUCTION

 

NEW MEXICO: Corn for Grain acreage harvested is expected to total 45,000 acres, with a yield of 180 bushels an acre, for a total production of 8.1 million bushels. Upland cotton acreage harvested totaled 51,000 acres, with a forecasted yield of 866 pounds an acre, for a total production of 92,000 bales. American-Pima cotton harvested acreage totaled 11,000 acres, with a yield of 916 pounds an acre and a production of 21,000 bales. Sorghum for grain harvested acreage totaled 90,000 acres, with an average yield of 45 bushels an acre. Production is expected to total 60.8 million bushels. Peanut harvested acreage totaled 19,000 acres. The yield is estimated at 3,200 pounds an acre with a total production of 60.8 million pounds. Dry bean acreage is up slightly to 6,300 acres, while yield is down to 2,000 pounds an acre for a total production of 126,000 hundredweight. Alfalfa acreage totaled 250,000 acres with a yield of 5.2 tons an acre. Production is forecasted at 1.3 million tons.

 

UNITED STATES: Corn for grain acreage harvested and to be harvested for grain was also updated in a number of States and is now forecast at 74.3 million acres, up 15,000 acres from September and 1 percent higher than 2004. All cotton production is forecast at 22.7 million 480-pound bales, up 2 percent from the September forecast but 2 percent below last year's record high production. Yield is expected to average 797 pounds per acre, up 15 pounds from last month but down 58 pounds from 2004. The October area expected for harvest remains unchanged from last month at 13.7 million acres but is up 5 percent from 2004. Upland cotton area for harvest, at 13.4 million acres, is unchanged from last month's forecast but is up 5 percent from last year. American-Pima harvested acres are unchanged from last month but are up 7 percent from 2004. Sorghum production is forecast at 375 million bushels, down 6 percent from last month and down 18 percent from last year. Based on October 1 conditions, the sorghum yield forecast is 66.0 bushels per acre, unchanged from September but down 3.8 bushels from last year. Peanuts production is forecast at 4.92 billion pounds, up 15 percent from last year's crop but down 2 percent from last month. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.61 million acres, unchanged from September but up 15 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 3,061 pounds per acre, down 56 pounds from September and down 15 pounds from 2004. U.S. dry edible bean production is forecast at 26.1 million cwt for 2005, up 1 percent from the August forecast and 47 percent above last year. Harvested acreage is forecast at 1.52 million acres, 1 percent below the August forecast but up 25 percent from last year. Alfalfa production is forecast at 75.9 million tons, up 3 percent from the August forecast and up 1 percent from last year.

 

October 2005 Crop Summary: Area Harvested, Yield and Production, 2004 and Forecasted October 1, 2005

Crop

Unit

Area Harvested

Yield Per Acre

Production

2004

2005

2004

2005

2004

2005

 

 

--------1,000 Acres---------

---------------Units--------------

---------1,000 Units--------

NEW MEXICO

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Corn for Grain

Bu.

58

45

180.0

180.0

10,440

8,100

All Cotton 1/ 2/

Lb.

74.5

62.0

850

875

132.0

113.0

   Upland Cotton 1/ 2/

Lb.

64.0

51.0

848

866

113.0

92.0

   A-P Cotton 1/ 2/

Lb.

10.5

11.0

869

916

19.0

21.0

Sorghum for Grain

Bu.

92

90

46.0

45.0

4,232

4,050

Peanuts

Lb.

17.0

19.0

3,500

3,200

59,500

60,800

Dry Edible Beans 3/ 4/

Lb.

6.0

6.3

2,600

2,000

156

126

Alfalfa, Hay

Ton

240

250

4.90

5.20

1,176

1,300

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

UNITED STATES

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Corn for Grain 

Bu.

73,632

74,333

160.4

146.1

11,807,217

10,857,440

All Cotton 1/ 2/

Lb.

13,057.0

13,673.0

855

797

23,250.7

22,717.0

   Upland Cotton 1/ 2/

Lb.

12,809.0

13,408.0

843

788

22,505.1

22,013.0

   A-P Cotton 1/ 2/

Lb.

248.0

265.0

1,443

1,275

745.6

704.0

Sorghum for Grain

Bu.

6,517

5,687

69.8

66.0

454,899

375,105

Peanuts

Lb.

1,394.0

1,607.0

3,076

3,061

4,288,200

4,919,300

Dry Edible Beans 3/ 4/

Lb.

1,219.3

1,522.1

1,460

1,715

17,799

26,109

Alfalfa, Hay

Ton

21,707

22,118

3.47

3.43

75,383

75,940

1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ Production in 480-Lb. Net weight bales. 3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 4/ Production in cwt.

 


PECANS

 

NEW MEXICO: The first pecan forecast for the 2005 pecan production year as of October 1st, is 62 million pounds, a new record for production in New Mexico. The 2005 forecast shows an increase of 23 million pounds from 2004, an “off” year in the alternate bearing cycle of our trees. Compared to the last “on” year in the cycle, 2005's production is currently expected to be 7 million pounds higher than 2003's 55 million pounds of pecans.


UNITED STATES: The October 1 forecast for 2005 pecan utilized production is 289 million pounds (in-shell basis), up 55 percent from last year's crop and 2 percent above 2003. Improved varieties are expected to produce 232 million pounds or 80 percent of the total, while the Native and seedling varieties, at 57.0 million pounds, make up the remaining 20 percent. The 2005 crop is expected to be larger than last year's, in most producing States, mainly because it is an up year in the alternate bearing pattern typical of pecans. Louisiana and Mississippi are exceptions to the high cycle due to extensive hurricane damage to trees.


All Pecans: Utilized Production 2003-04 and Forecasted October 1, 2005

State

2003

2004

2005

 

---------------------------------------------------1,000 Pounds---------------------------------------------

AL

8,000

1,100

3,500

AZ

22,500

14,000

21,000

AR

3,800

1,700

3,000

CA

3,700

3,500

3,900

FL

2,100

500

1,400

GA

75,000

45,000

90,000

KS

2,000

1,800

3,100

LA

20,000

9,000

4,000

MS

7,000

1,000

800

MO 1/

---

---

1,500

NM

55,000

39,000

62,000

NC

2,500

100

2,000

OK

6,000

28,000

20,000

SC

4,500

1,100

2,500

TX

70,000

40,000

70,000

US

282,100

185,800

288,700

1/ Estimates began in 2005.


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