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December Pecan Forecast

NEW MEXICO: The December 1 forecast for the 2004 pecan utilized production is 37 million pounds (in-shell basis), unchanged from the October forecast. Production is down from 2003's 55 million pounds, since this is a low year in the alternating bearing cycle of our trees. Production is expected to be 1 million pounds higher than 2002's 36 million pounds.


UNITED STATES: Utilized production is forecast at 177 million pounds (in-shell basis), down 6 percent from the October 1 forecast and 37 percent below last year's crop. Improved varieties are expected to produce 128 million pounds or 72 percent of the total, while the Native and seedling varieties make up the difference.
PECANS: UTILIZED PRODUCTION 2002-03 AND FORECASTED DECEMBER 1, 2004
Crop and State
Utilized Production
2002 2003 2004
------------------------------------1,000 Pounds---------------------------------------------
IMPROVED VARIETIES 1/
AL
 4,000 7,000 950
AZ 16,000 22,500 13,000
AR 2/ 1,200 1,400 1,300
CA 2/ 3,800 3,700 3,400
FL 2/ 500 500 200
GA 42,000 60,000 35,000
LA 2,000 4,000 2,000
MS 2/ 2,100 4,800 700
NM 36,000 55,000 37,000
NC 2/ 1,500 2,200 600
OK 1,500 1,500 4,000
SC 2/ 120 3,300 1,500
TX 20,000 37,000 28,000
NATIVE & SEEDLING
AL 1,000 1,000 50
AR 2/ 500 2,400 900
FL 2/ 900 1,600 300
GA 3,000 15,000 5,000
KS 2/ 2,900 2,000 2,500
LA 4,000 16,000 6,000
MS 2/ 900 2,200 300
NC 2/ 400 300 100
OK 8,500 4,500 22,000
SC 2/ 80 1,200 500
TX 20,000 33,000 12,000
U.S. ALL PECANS 172,900 282,100 177,300
1/ Budded, grafted, or top worked varieties. 2/ Estimated for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

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