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2005 October Pecan Forecast

PECANS


NEW MEXICO: The first pecan forecast for the 2005 pecan production year as of October 1st, is 62 million pounds, a new record for production in New Mexico. The 2005 forecast shows an increase of 23 million pounds from 2004, an “off” year in the alternate bearing cycle of our trees. Compared to the last “on” year in the cycle, 2005's production is currently expected to be 7 million pounds higher than 2003's 55 million pounds of pecans.

UNITED STATES: The October 1 forecast for 2005 pecan utilized production is 289 million pounds (in-shell basis), up 55 percent from last year's crop and 2 percent above 2003. Improved varieties are expected to produce 232 million pounds or 80 percent of the total, while the Native and seedling varieties, at 57.0 million pounds, make up the remaining 20 percent. The 2005 crop is expected to be larger than last year's, in most producing States, mainly because it is an up year in the alternate bearing pattern typical of pecans. Louisiana and Mississippi are exceptions to the high cycle due to extensive hurricane damage to trees.

All Pecans: Utilized Production 2003-04 and Forecasted October 1, 2005

State

2003

2004

2005

 

---------------------------------------------------1,000 Pounds---------------------------------------------

AL

8,000

1,100

3,500

AZ

22,500

14,000

21,000

AR

3,800

1,700

3,000

CA

3,700

3,500

3,900

FL

2,100

500

1,400

GA

75,000

45,000

90,000

KS

2,000

1,800

3,100

LA

20,000

9,000

4,000

MS

7,000

1,000

800

MO 1/

---

---

1,500

NM

55,000

39,000

62,000

NC

2,500

100

2,000

OK

6,000

28,000

20,000

SC

4,500

1,100

2,500

TX

70,000

40,000

70,000

US

282,100

185,800

288,700

1/ Estimates began in 2005.




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